TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129183
Played Sep 14Finished
Zdenek Zahradka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118811117119––
David Sochor
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeZdenek Zahradka to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Zahradka above · David Sochor below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Zdenek Zahradka at 63.7%
76 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zahradka 4–2 David Sochor David Sochor has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zahradka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1424 vs Sochor 1367
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 60% vs Sochor 20%
Zahradka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 30% vs Sochor 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka +2 · Sochor -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Zahradka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.50 / Sochor 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Zahradka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13129183
Zahradka1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 108 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it86% 47 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it70% 75 of 107
Sochor2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 10 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZahradka4wins
AwaySochor2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderZahradka leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka80%4 of 5
AwaySochorn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka5Sochor1n = 6Zahradka took 5 of 6
S2Zahradka3Sochor3n = 6split evenly
S3Zahradka5Sochor1n = 6Zahradka took 5 of 6
S4Zahradka0Sochor4n = 4Sochor took 4 of 4
S5Zahradka2Sochor1n = 3Zahradka took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricZahradkaSochorZ − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match41.533.7+7.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 828 vs 102 / 25349.4%40.3%409 / 828 vs 102 / 253Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaZahradka 1.50/Sochor 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 17 · 13:30Z. Zahradka331111113D. Sochor219480
WJul 17 · 12:20Z. Zahradka331111113D. Sochor204880
WJul 12 · 09:25Z. Zahradka471141110113D. Sochor3831151272
LJul 12 · 07:50Z. Zahradka381198101D. Sochor3731111123
LJul 6 · 14:20Z. Zahradka49911117112D. Sochor42115211133
WJun 30 · 07:25Z. Zahradka49115118143D. Sochor44711311122
Z. Zahradka10
WSep 14 · 15:20D. Sykora1.30811771Z. Zahradka3.4011811113WSep 14 · 14:50J. Hendrych2.00111241072Z. Zahradka1.734101112113LSep 10 · 17:29Z. Zahradka2.501191011112M. Dolezal1.50611128133LSep 10 · 16:50J. Hendrych2.101211115113Z. Zahradka1.6714581172WSep 10 · 15:50Z. Zahradka2.751111113M. Dolezal1.404730LSep 10 · 14:20L. Moravec1.8311119113Z. Zahradka1.83731161LSep 8 · 17:23J. Dvorak1.67111158123Z. Zahradka2.10981111102LSep 8 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.50671191J. Dvorak1.5011113113LSep 8 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.7510580P. Moravec1.401211113LSep 8 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.574890J. Hendrych2.251111113
D. Sochor10
WSep 14 · 17:20J. Hendrych1.60118891D. Sochor2.2071111113LSep 14 · 15:50D. Sochor2.1011581182J. Hendrych1.67811118113LSep 14 · 14:20D. Sykora1.4411136153D. Sochor2.6361111131WSep 13 · 17:28M. Beran1.365890D. Sochor3.001111113LSep 13 · 16:20D. Sochor2.2591080V. Jr1.571112113LSep 13 · 15:20D. Sochor2.759101261M. Beran1.40111210113LSep 13 · 14:20D. Sochor2.50611961A. Langer1.5011711113WSep 11 · 17:55L. Moravec1.3097130D. Sochor3.401111153LSep 11 · 17:25A. Kral1.801111133D. Sochor1.9178110LSep 11 · 16:25D. Sochor1.675680L. Moravec2.101111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.