TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125811
Played Sep 13Finished
Matej Beran
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811911––––
David Sochor
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMatej Beran above · David Sochor below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Matej Beran 7–0 David Sochor David Sochor has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Beran beat Sochor 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Beran)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBeran 1.36 / Sochor 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Beran)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13125811
Beran1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 22 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Sochor3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog28% won 9 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBeran7wins
AwaySochor0wins
1 of 7 to a deciderBeran leads 7–0, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBeran100%5 of 5
AwaySochorn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Beran5Sochor2n = 7Beran took 5 of 7
S2Beran5Sochor2n = 7Beran took 5 of 7
S3Beran6Sochor1n = 7Beran took 6 of 7
S4Beran4Sochor1n = 5Beran took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricBeranSochorB − SBasisWins70+7in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match42.431.1+11.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBeranSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 155 vs 103 / 25446.5%40.6%72 / 155 vs 103 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BeranBeran 1.36/Sochor 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.4%
Beran · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sochor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 13 · 15:20M. Beran44111210113D. Sochor379101261
WJul 10 · 10:40M. Beran501110117113D. Sochor3921271172
WJul 10 · 08:25M. Beran361411113D. Sochor2012530
WJul 6 · 17:55M. Beran4817713113D. Sochor4115111141
WJul 6 · 15:50M. Beran45121111113D. Sochor35149661
WApr 7 · 14:55M. Beran331111113D. Sochor130850
WNov 11 · 17:55M. Beran4161113113D. Sochor331161151
M. Beran10
LSep 13 · 16:50M. Beran1.73811120A. Langer2.001113143WSep 13 · 15:20D. Sochor2.759101261M. Beran1.40111210113WSep 13 · 14:50V. Jr1.731611911102M. Beran2.00185119123WSep 9 · 18:35M. Beran1.441111113D. Sykora2.609950WSep 9 · 16:55M. Beran1.6711118123M. Dvorak2.108611101WSep 9 · 15:55M. Beran1.7391111113J. Dvorak2.00115141WSep 9 · 14:55M. Beran1.6741111113D. Sykora2.10119991LSep 7 · 13:55M. Beran1.9131111452V. Jr1.80115411113WSep 7 · 12:50M. Beran2.001111113A. Langer1.736440WSep 7 · 11:20V. Jr1.67111166102M. Beran2.10681111123
D. Sochor10
LSep 13 · 16:20D. Sochor2.2591080V. Jr1.571112113LSep 13 · 15:20D. Sochor2.759101261M. Beran1.40111210113LSep 13 · 14:20D. Sochor2.50611961A. Langer1.5011711113WSep 11 · 17:55L. Moravec1.3097130D. Sochor3.401111153LSep 11 · 17:25A. Kral1.801111133D. Sochor1.9178110LSep 11 · 16:25D. Sochor1.675680L. Moravec2.101111113LSep 11 · 14:55M. Dvorak2.2011117113D. Sochor1.61961171LSep 8 · 13:20D. Sochor2.10117110D. Sykora1.671311133LSep 8 · 12:20D. Sochor2.25261271V. Jr1.57111110113WSep 8 · 11:20D. Sochor2.25113113113D. Sykora1.5781191172
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