TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13130406
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Hendrych
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811811911––
David Sochor
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJan Hendrych above · David Sochor below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11
76 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hendrych 2–1 David Sochor David Sochor has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Hendrych beat Sochor 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hendrych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 1.60 / Sochor 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Hendrych)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13130406
Hendrych1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 39 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 27 of 36
Sochor2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 10 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHendrych2wins
AwaySochor1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHendrych leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrychn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySochor33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych0Sochor3n = 3Sochor took 3 of 3
S2Hendrych2Sochor1n = 3Hendrych took 2 of 3
S3Hendrych2Sochor1n = 3Hendrych took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricHendrychSochorH − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match40.735.3+5.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 525 vs 102 / 25451.1%40.2%268 / 525 vs 102 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HendrychHendrych 1.60/Sochor 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.9%
Hendrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sochor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 14 · 15:50J. Hendrych49811118113D. Sochor4311581182
LAug 7 · 16:20J. Hendrych311110100D. Sochor371312123
WJul 15 · 15:50J. Hendrych4291111113D. Sochor26113391
J. Hendrych10
LSep 14 · 16:20D. Sykora1.8381111113J. Hendrych1.83118871WSep 14 · 15:50D. Sochor2.1011581182J. Hendrych1.67811118113LSep 14 · 14:50J. Hendrych2.00111241072Z. Zahradka1.734101112113LSep 10 · 18:00J. Hendrych1.65111161252L. Moravec2.10661114113WSep 10 · 16:50J. Hendrych2.101211115113Z. Zahradka1.6714581172WSep 10 · 15:20L. Moravec2.25511281J. Hendrych1.5711211113WSep 10 · 14:50M. Dolezal2.257990J. Hendrych1.571111113LSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych1.95811981P. Moravec1.7511911113WSep 8 · 16:50P. Moravec1.83871131J. Hendrych1.8311117113LSep 8 · 15:50J. Hendrych2.0051111872J. Dvorak1.73116911113
D. Sochor10
LSep 14 · 16:50Z. Zahradka1.5011811113D. Sochor2.50811791LSep 14 · 15:50D. Sochor2.1011581182J. Hendrych1.67811118113LSep 14 · 14:20D. Sykora1.4411136153D. Sochor2.6361111131WSep 13 · 17:28M. Beran1.365890D. Sochor3.001111113LSep 13 · 16:20D. Sochor2.2591080V. Jr1.571112113LSep 13 · 15:20D. Sochor2.759101261M. Beran1.40111210113LSep 13 · 14:20D. Sochor2.50611961A. Langer1.5011711113WSep 11 · 17:55L. Moravec1.3097130D. Sochor3.401111153LSep 11 · 17:25A. Kral1.801111133D. Sochor1.9178110LSep 11 · 16:25D. Sochor1.675680L. Moravec2.101111113
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