TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136569
Played Sep 16Finished
Petr Provaznik
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11861113114111210
Ondrej Horak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeOndrej Horak to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Provaznik above · Ondrej Horak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 97 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Ondrej Horak at 54.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Petr Provaznik 7–9 Ondrej Horak Petr Provaznik has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Horak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Horak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Provaznik 1570 vs Horak 1569
Provaznik
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Provaznik 60% vs Horak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Provaznik 60% vs Horak 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Provaznik +2 · Horak +3
Horak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Horak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProvaznik 2.00 / Horak 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Horak)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13136569
Provaznik2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 33 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Horak1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 16 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProvaznik3wins
AwayHorak7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHorak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProvaznik60%3 of 5
AwayHorak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Provaznik5Horak5n = 10split evenly
S2Provaznik5Horak5n = 10split evenly
S3Provaznik4Horak6n = 10Horak took 6 of 10
S4Provaznik4Horak4n = 8split evenly
S5Provaznik0Horak3n = 3Horak took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricProvaznikHorakP − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.240.7−2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProvaznikHorakBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 498 vs 95 / 19247.6%49.5%237 / 498 vs 95 / 192Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakProvaznik 2.00/Horak 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Provaznik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik49118111452O. Horak569111312113
LJul 21 · 16:33P. Provaznik29114861O. Horak4291111113
LJul 21 · 14:30P. Provaznik2366110O. Horak351111133
LJul 14 · 15:15P. Provaznik46411711132O. Horak50117116153
LJul 8 · 16:38P. Provaznik34881171O. Horak4211119113
WJul 8 · 14:00P. Provaznik4211911113O. Horak31611861
LJun 25 · 14:45P. Provaznik30811561O. Horak4211911113
LJun 16 · 15:00P. Provaznik53813147112O. Horak5811111211133
WJun 5 · 16:14P. Provaznik341211113O. Horak2010730
WJun 5 · 13:45P. Provaznik4211119113O. Horak31971141
P. Provaznik10
LSep 16 · 15:15T. Bertho2.0011711113P. Provaznik1.73611881LSep 16 · 14:45P. Provaznik1.8011951182J. Juppa1.91711119113WSep 10 · 20:20P. Provaznik—7121111113O. Chadima—11148892WSep 10 · 19:15O. Chadima2.50126361P. Provaznik1.50101111113LSep 10 · 18:45P. Provaznik1.407511101Z. Kuksa2.7511119102LSep 10 · 17:45P. Provaznik1.831011961V. Herrmann1.8312911113WSep 9 · 17:03P. Hala1.5071131192P. Provaznik2.50119118113WSep 9 · 15:30P. Provaznik2.2513411113T. Hucko1.571111771LSep 9 · 14:30P. Provaznik2.503111051P. Hala1.5011512113WSep 9 · 13:30P. Provaznik2.25912611113L. Kolman1.57111011732
O. Horak10
LSep 16 · 15:45O. Horak2.00441181J. Juppa1.7311115113WSep 16 · 14:15T. Bertho2.202980O. Horak1.611111113WSep 11 · 17:03P. Hala1.6713760O. Horak2.101511113WSep 11 · 15:30A. Pavlik2.00104100O. Horak1.731211123WSep 11 · 15:00O. Horak1.801111113V. Lopata1.917420LSep 11 · 14:00O. Horak2.0039110P. Hala1.731111133LSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111WSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113WSep 4 · 14:45O. Horak1.80111012113M. Bruk1.916121081LSep 4 · 13:45O. Horak1.83971191J. Simek1.8311119113
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