TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111178
Played Sep 11Finished
Ondrej Horak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3119111113––––
Pavel Hala
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timePavel Hala to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Horak above · Pavel Hala below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 58 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Pavel Hala at 54.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Horak 10–16 Pavel Hala Ondrej Horak has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-16 in 26
Hala
Correct
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horak 1531 vs Hala 1640
Hala
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horak 60% vs Hala 80%
Hala
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horak 50% vs Hala 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Horak -1 · Hala -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hala form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorak 2.00 / Hala 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hala)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111178
Horak2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 29 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back29% 13 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Hala1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 72 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it65% 62 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorak4wins
AwayHala6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHala leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHala62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horak2Hala8n = 10Hala took 8 of 10
S2Horak6Hala4n = 10Horak took 6 of 10
S3Horak7Hala3n = 10Horak took 7 of 10
S4Horak4Hala6n = 10Hala took 6 of 10
S5Horak2Hala3n = 5Hala took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorakHalaHorak − HalaBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.442.0−3.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorakHalaBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 196 vs 308 / 60948.5%50.6%95 / 196 vs 308 / 609Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HalaHorak 2.00/Hala 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Hala · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 14 · 13:45O. Horak—371191P. Hala—11119113
WJul 8 · 14:30O. Horak—91111113P. Hala—113931
LJun 30 · 15:00O. Horak—71111842P. Hala—118511113
LJun 16 · 16:39O. Horak—29111242P. Hala—1111310113
WJun 16 · 15:30O. Horak—8111111113P. Hala—11681392
LMay 27 · 14:00O. Horak—511771P. Hala—11711113
LMay 20 · 14:30O. Horak—41111822P. Hala—116911113
WMay 7 · 14:00O. Horak—51111163P. Hala—1156141
LMar 12 · 17:33O. Horak—116651P. Hala—81111113
WMar 12 · 15:00O. Horak—111811133P. Hala—911116112
O. Horak10
LSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111WSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113WSep 4 · 14:45O. Horak1.80111012113M. Bruk1.916121081LSep 4 · 13:45O. Horak1.83971191J. Simek1.8311119113WAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 15:15T. Hanke2.101081361O. Horak1.67121111113LAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113WAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 21 · 16:14D. Marasek1.25111210113O. Horak3.752101231LAug 21 · 15:15P. Semrad1.401111113O. Horak2.757380
P. Hala10
WSep 11 · 14:30A. Pavlik1.83137110P. Hala1.831511133LSep 9 · 17:03P. Hala1.5071131192P. Provaznik2.50119118113WSep 9 · 16:00P. Hala1.8317911113L. Kolman1.831511351WSep 9 · 14:30P. Provaznik2.503111051P. Hala1.5011512113WSep 9 · 14:00T. Hucko1.576490P. Hala2.251111113WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123LSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161
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