TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111277
Played Sep 11Finished
Adam Pavlik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
13157111113––––
Pavel Hala
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Hala to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Pavlik above · Pavel Hala below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 70 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Pavel Hala at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Adam Pavlik 14–12 Pavel Hala Pavel Hala has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:47What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-12 in 26
Pavlik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pavlik 1592 vs Hala 1650
Hala
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pavlik 60% vs Hala 80%
Hala
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pavlik 30% vs Hala 70%
Hala
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pavlik +3 · Hala +1
Pavlik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hala form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPavlik 1.83 / Hala 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hala)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111277
Pavlik1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Hala1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePavlik5wins
AwayHala5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePavlik100%3 of 3
AwayHala71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pavlik3Hala7n = 10Hala took 7 of 10
S2Pavlik6Hala4n = 10Pavlik took 6 of 10
S3Pavlik5Hala5n = 10split evenly
S4Pavlik2Hala5n = 7Hala took 5 of 7
S5Pavlik3Hala1n = 4Pavlik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPavlikHalaP − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.038.9−1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPavlikHalaBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 325 vs 309 / 61051.7%50.7%168 / 325 vs 309 / 610Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HalaPavlik 1.83/Hala 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hala · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 8 · 17:08A. Pavlik—111176113P. Hala—96111172
LJul 8 · 13:30A. Pavlik—78131192P. Hala—1111116113
WMay 12 · 20:14A. Pavlik—111189133P. Hala—471111112
LMay 12 · 19:15A. Pavlik—611861P. Hala—11811113
WMay 7 · 16:29A. Pavlik—711158113P. Hala—117131182
LMay 7 · 15:30A. Pavlik—77100P. Hala—1111123
WApr 15 · 14:00A. Pavlik—71111113P. Hala—119961
LMar 23 · 15:00A. Pavlik—5250P. Hala—1111113
LMar 4 · 22:08A. Pavlik—971141P. Hala—11114113
WMar 4 · 20:00A. Pavlik—1111123P. Hala—65100
A. Pavlik10
WSep 11 · 13:30A. Pavlik2.201211113V. Lopata1.6110750WSep 7 · 20:29S. Kalensky2.2091211101A. Pavlik1.6111149123WSep 7 · 19:30P. Orlowski1.8085110A. Pavlik1.911111133LSep 7 · 19:00A. Pavlik1.80118691D. Brichacek1.9171111113LSep 7 · 18:00A. Pavlik1.531041481S. Kalensky2.38121112113LSep 6 · 20:23M. Svitac1.731112113A. Pavlik2.0071090LSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113LSep 6 · 18:15A. Pavlik1.83113471M. Svitac1.8391111113LSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LAug 30 · 08:29R. Merkl1.911191111123A. Pavlik1.80611139102
P. Hala10
WSep 11 · 14:00O. Horak2.0039110P. Hala1.731111133LSep 9 · 17:03P. Hala1.5071131192P. Provaznik2.50119118113WSep 9 · 16:00P. Hala1.8317911113L. Kolman1.831511351WSep 9 · 14:30P. Provaznik2.503111051P. Hala1.5011512113WSep 9 · 14:00T. Hucko1.576490P. Hala2.251111113WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123LSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161
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