TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136566
Played Sep 16Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711118118––
Petr Provaznik
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Provaznik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Petr Provaznik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Petr Provaznik at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 4–2 Petr Provaznik Petr Provaznik has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Provaznik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Bertho
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bertho 1531 vs Provaznik 1581
Provaznik
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertho 60% vs Provaznik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertho 70% vs Provaznik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertho -1 · Provaznik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Provaznik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 2.00 / Provaznik 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Provaznik)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13136566
Bertho2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 63 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Provaznik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 50 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it67% 33 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBertho4wins
AwayProvaznik2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderBertho leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBertho75%3 of 4
AwayProvaznikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho4Provaznik2n = 6Bertho took 4 of 6
S2Bertho3Provaznik3n = 6split evenly
S3Bertho3Provaznik3n = 6split evenly
S4Bertho1Provaznik3n = 4Provaznik took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricBerthoProvaznikB − PBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match37.737.5+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoProvaznikBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 668 vs 236 / 49253.3%48%356 / 668 vs 236 / 492Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProvaznikBertho 2.00/Provaznik 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Provaznik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 27 · 11:15T. Bertho521171112113P. Provaznik4891171472
LJul 12 · 18:00T. Bertho227870P. Provaznik331111113
LJul 2 · 14:00T. Bertho27117361P. Provaznik4291111113
WJun 25 · 13:15T. Bertho3711114113P. Provaznik33971161
WJun 25 · 06:00T. Bertho559141110113P. Provaznik50111291262
WJun 5 · 15:15T. Bertho331111113P. Provaznik197660
T. Bertho10
LSep 16 · 14:15T. Bertho2.202980O. Horak1.611111113WSep 16 · 13:15T. Bertho2.5071111113J. Juppa1.50114661WSep 14 · 20:13P. Maly1.80103100T. Bertho1.911211123LSep 14 · 19:15T. Bertho1.8361111582P. Maly1.83118811113WSep 14 · 18:15T. Bertho1.831211511113Z. Kuksa1.83101311582LSep 14 · 17:15T. Bertho1.735960J. Tichy2.001111113WSep 11 · 20:54T. Bertho1.671261111113L. Hendrych2.10101181392WSep 11 · 19:45L. Hendrych1.91101111932T. Bertho1.80128911113WSep 11 · 18:45K. Jirousek1.917670T. Bertho1.801111113WSep 11 · 17:15J. Botka1.8071111962T. Bertho1.91114911113
P. Provaznik10
LSep 16 · 14:45P. Provaznik1.8011951182J. Juppa1.91711119113WSep 16 · 13:45P. Provaznik2.00116134123O. Horak1.738111111102WSep 10 · 20:20P. Provaznik—7121111113O. Chadima—11148892WSep 10 · 19:15O. Chadima2.50126361P. Provaznik1.50101111113LSep 10 · 18:45P. Provaznik1.407511101Z. Kuksa2.7511119102LSep 10 · 17:45P. Provaznik1.831011961V. Herrmann1.8312911113WSep 9 · 17:03P. Hala1.5071131192P. Provaznik2.50119118113WSep 9 · 15:30P. Provaznik2.2513411113T. Hucko1.571111771LSep 9 · 14:30P. Provaznik2.503111051P. Hala1.5011512113WSep 9 · 13:30P. Provaznik2.25912611113L. Kolman1.57111011732
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