TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131228
Played Sep 14Finished
Petr Maly
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10123111012––––
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12
58 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 9–9 Tadeas Bertho Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Maly beat Bertho 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maly)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maly form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 1.80 / Bertho 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Maly)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13131228
Maly1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite53% won 59 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it87% 26 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it66% 43 of 65
Bertho1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 62 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaly5wins
AwayBertho5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaly100%3 of 3
AwayBertho71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maly3Bertho7n = 10Bertho took 7 of 10
S2Maly5Bertho5n = 10split evenly
S3Maly5Bertho5n = 10split evenly
S4Maly3Bertho5n = 8Bertho took 5 of 8
S5Maly4Bertho1n = 5Maly took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMalyBerthoM − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.941.9−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 443 vs 354 / 66553.1%53.2%235 / 443 vs 354 / 665Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalyMaly 1.80/Bertho 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Maly · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 19:15P. Maly49118811113T. Bertho4161111582
WJul 29 · 17:30P. Maly51991111113T. Bertho4311117772
LMay 30 · 12:55P. Maly206590T. Bertho331111113
LMay 30 · 10:15P. Maly25511451T. Bertho4211911113
WMay 8 · 20:29P. Maly371313113T. Bertho26111140
LMay 8 · 18:30P. Maly4581113942T. Bertho531191111113
LMar 29 · 14:45P. Maly29791121T. Bertho4111118113
WMar 6 · 18:15P. Maly45118411113T. Bertho4991111992
LFeb 9 · 20:30P. Maly367111171T. Bertho4411913113
WJan 31 · 10:30P. Maly521012118113T. Bertho47121051192
P. Maly10
WSep 14 · 19:15T. Bertho1.8361111582P. Maly1.83118811113LSep 14 · 18:45P. Maly1.6712101012122J. Tichy2.1010121210143LSep 14 · 17:45P. Maly1.83117111192Z. Kuksa1.83511135113LSep 13 · 16:23J. Snr2.20891111113P. Maly1.6111119672LSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113LSep 13 · 14:15P. Maly2.0011117572D. Brichacek1.73591111113WSep 13 · 13:15P. Maly1.6115117113J. Snr2.201361191WSep 11 · 21:08P. Maly1.571112113L. Krasl2.2591070WSep 11 · 20:00P. Maly1.67119113113V. Herrmann2.1091181192WSep 11 · 18:30L. Krasl1.914115111P. Maly1.8011911133
T. Bertho10
LSep 14 · 19:15T. Bertho1.8361111582P. Maly1.83118811113WSep 14 · 18:15T. Bertho1.831211511113Z. Kuksa1.83101311582LSep 14 · 17:15T. Bertho1.735960J. Tichy2.001111113WSep 11 · 20:54T. Bertho1.671261111113L. Hendrych2.10101181392WSep 11 · 19:45L. Hendrych1.91101111932T. Bertho1.80128911113WSep 11 · 18:45K. Jirousek1.917670T. Bertho1.801111113WSep 11 · 17:15J. Botka1.8071111962T. Bertho1.91114911113WSep 10 · 16:29M. Soukup2.10111211462T. Bertho1.67614611113WSep 10 · 15:30T. Bertho2.3811911143M. Soukup1.537115121LSep 10 · 14:30T. Bertho1.91611101162T. Hanke1.80119126113
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