TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126525
Played Sep 14Finished
Petr Maly
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101012101212101214
Jiri Tichy
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timePetr Maly to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Jiri Tichy below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 114 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Petr Maly at 59.0%
114 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 5–4 Jiri Tichy Jiri Tichy has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Maly
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maly 1501 vs Tichy 1473
Maly
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maly 20% vs Tichy 40%
Tichy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maly 50% vs Tichy 30%
Maly
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maly -4 · Tichy +1
Maly
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Maly) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maly form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 1.67 / Tichy 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Maly)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13126525
Maly1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite53% won 59 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it87% 26 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it66% 43 of 65
Tichy2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 11 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMaly5wins
AwayTichy4wins
5 of 9 to a deciderMaly leads 5–4, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaly50%2 of 4
AwayTichy40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maly4Tichy5n = 9Tichy took 5 of 9
S2Maly3Tichy6n = 9Tichy took 6 of 9
S3Maly5Tichy4n = 9Maly took 5 of 9
S4Maly4Tichy5n = 9Tichy took 5 of 9
S5Maly4Tichy1n = 5Maly took 4 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home444%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricMalyTichyM − TBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match43.843.1+0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyTichyBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 441 vs 102 / 21653.1%47.2%234 / 441 vs 102 / 216Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalyMaly 1.67/Tichy 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Maly · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tichy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 8 · 19:30P. Maly4071111113J. Tichy28118271
LJun 8 · 19:15P. Maly35811791J. Tichy4211911113
WMar 11 · 21:28P. Maly48119116113J. Tichy3951181142
LMar 11 · 18:30P. Maly4511681192J. Tichy49811118113
WNov 19 · 21:34P. Maly51991111113J. Tichy4411119672
WNov 19 · 20:30P. Maly53119147123J. Tichy539111211102
LSep 12 · 18:45P. Maly341012571J. Tichy4112101183
LSep 11 · 20:00P. Maly31115691J. Tichy3741111113
WSep 4 · 19:15P. Maly576141511113J. Tichy55111613962
P. Maly10
WSep 14 · 19:15T. Bertho1.8361111582P. Maly1.83118811113LSep 14 · 17:45P. Maly1.83117111192Z. Kuksa1.83511135113LSep 13 · 16:23J. Snr2.20891111113P. Maly1.6111119672LSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113LSep 13 · 14:15P. Maly2.0011117572D. Brichacek1.73591111113WSep 13 · 13:15P. Maly1.6115117113J. Snr2.201361191WSep 11 · 21:08P. Maly1.571112113L. Krasl2.2591070WSep 11 · 20:00P. Maly1.67119113113V. Herrmann2.1091181192WSep 11 · 18:30L. Krasl1.914115111P. Maly1.8011911133WSep 11 · 18:00J. Snr2.2091151142P. Maly1.61116117113
J. Tichy10
LSep 14 · 19:45Z. Kuksa1.361111113J. Tichy3.006660WSep 14 · 17:15T. Bertho1.735960J. Tichy2.001111113LSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113WSep 7 · 19:45V. Toman1.91118981J. Tichy1.8081111113LSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750LSep 7 · 17:15T. Bertho1.83911116113J. Tichy1.8311731152LAug 26 · 20:38S. Kalensky1.7311101311113J. Tichy2.0081215842LAug 26 · 19:30J. Tichy1.671118711102J. Snr2.101316118123LAug 26 · 18:30J. Tichy1.8010770S. Kalensky1.911211113LAug 26 · 17:30J. Tichy2.007760V. Herrmann1.731111113
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