TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126834
Played Sep 14Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611118118511811
Petr Maly
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Petr Maly below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 9–8 Petr Maly Petr Maly has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:27What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Maly
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bertho 1532 vs Maly 1501
Bertho
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertho 80% vs Maly 20%
Bertho
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertho 70% vs Maly 50%
Bertho
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertho +1 · Maly -4
Maly
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maly form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.83 / Maly 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bertho)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126834
Bertho1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Maly1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBertho5wins
AwayMaly5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBertho71.4%5 of 7
AwayMaly100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho7Maly3n = 10Bertho took 7 of 10
S2Bertho4Maly6n = 10Maly took 6 of 10
S3Bertho4Maly6n = 10Maly took 6 of 10
S4Bertho5Maly2n = 7Bertho took 5 of 7
S5Bertho1Maly3n = 4Maly took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerthoMalyB − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.637.7+2.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoMalyBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 664 vs 234 / 44153.3%53.1%354 / 664 vs 234 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.83/Maly 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Maly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 29 · 17:30T. Bertho4311117772P. Maly51991111113
WMay 30 · 12:55T. Bertho331111113P. Maly206590
WMay 30 · 10:15T. Bertho4211911113P. Maly25511451
LMay 8 · 20:29T. Bertho26111140P. Maly371313113
WMay 8 · 18:30T. Bertho531191111113P. Maly4581113942
WMar 29 · 14:45T. Bertho4111118113P. Maly29791121
LMar 6 · 18:15T. Bertho4991111992P. Maly45118411113
WFeb 9 · 20:30T. Bertho4411913113P. Maly367111171
LJan 31 · 10:30T. Bertho47121051192P. Maly521012118113
LNov 25 · 18:30T. Bertho28611110P. Maly371113133
T. Bertho10
WSep 14 · 18:15T. Bertho1.831211511113Z. Kuksa1.83101311582LSep 14 · 17:15T. Bertho1.735960J. Tichy2.001111113WSep 11 · 20:54T. Bertho1.671261111113L. Hendrych2.10101181392WSep 11 · 19:45L. Hendrych1.91101111932T. Bertho1.80128911113WSep 11 · 18:45K. Jirousek1.917670T. Bertho1.801111113WSep 11 · 17:15J. Botka1.8071111962T. Bertho1.91114911113WSep 10 · 16:29M. Soukup2.10111211462T. Bertho1.67614611113WSep 10 · 15:30T. Bertho2.3811911143M. Soukup1.537115121LSep 10 · 14:30T. Bertho1.91611101162T. Hanke1.80119126113LSep 10 · 13:30T. Bertho1.5311410101P. Abraham2.3871112123
P. Maly10
LSep 14 · 18:45P. Maly1.6712101012122J. Tichy2.1010121210143LSep 14 · 17:45P. Maly1.83117111192Z. Kuksa1.83511135113LSep 13 · 16:23J. Snr2.20891111113P. Maly1.6111119672LSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113LSep 13 · 14:15P. Maly2.0011117572D. Brichacek1.73591111113WSep 13 · 13:15P. Maly1.6115117113J. Snr2.201361191WSep 11 · 21:08P. Maly1.571112113L. Krasl2.2591070WSep 11 · 20:00P. Maly1.67119113113V. Herrmann2.1091181192WSep 11 · 18:30L. Krasl1.914115111P. Maly1.8011911133WSep 11 · 18:00J. Snr2.2091151142P. Maly1.61116117113
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