TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136755
Played Sep 16Finished
Ondrej Horak
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411411115811––
Jachym Juppa
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Horak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Horak above · Jachym Juppa below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 65 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ondrej Horak at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Horak 8–14 Jachym Juppa Ondrej Horak has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:27What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Juppa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-14 in 22
Juppa
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horak 1572 vs Juppa 1500
Horak
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horak 80% vs Juppa 40%
Horak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horak 60% vs Juppa 40%
Horak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Horak +1 · Juppa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Horak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juppa form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorak 2.00 / Juppa 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Horak)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13136755
Horak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Juppa1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 56 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it63% 46 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorak3wins
AwayJuppa7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJuppa leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorak33.3%1 of 3
AwayJuppa71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horak3Juppa7n = 10Juppa took 7 of 10
S2Horak3Juppa7n = 10Juppa took 7 of 10
S3Horak6Juppa4n = 10Horak took 6 of 10
S4Horak4Juppa2n = 6Horak took 4 of 6
S5Horak0Juppa3n = 3Juppa took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorakJuppaH − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.038.8−2.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorakJuppaBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 193 vs 447 / 85649.2%52.2%95 / 193 vs 447 / 856Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakHorak 2.00/Juppa 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 16 · 14:00O. Horak46111212113J. Juppa4113101081
LJun 9 · 15:45O. Horak226880J. Juppa331111113
LMay 27 · 14:30O. Horak208480J. Juppa331111113
LMay 15 · 17:00O. Horak226970J. Juppa331111113
WMay 15 · 15:00O. Horak341112113J. Juppa2171040
LApr 28 · 16:00O. Horak531112111272J. Juppa55914714113
LApr 24 · 16:00O. Horak34961181J. Juppa4011117113
LApr 9 · 15:00O. Horak45117412112J. Juppa494111110133
LMar 12 · 16:00O. Horak45122111192J. Juppa48141166113
WFeb 26 · 17:13O. Horak3971111103J. Juppa35118791
O. Horak10
WSep 16 · 16:14O. Horak1.731111113P. Provaznik2.008860WSep 16 · 14:15T. Bertho2.202980O. Horak1.611111113LSep 16 · 13:45P. Provaznik2.00116134123O. Horak1.738111111102WSep 11 · 17:03P. Hala1.6713760O. Horak2.101511113WSep 11 · 15:30A. Pavlik2.00104100O. Horak1.731211123WSep 11 · 15:00O. Horak1.801111113V. Lopata1.917420LSep 11 · 14:00O. Horak2.0039110P. Hala1.731111133LSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111WSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113WSep 4 · 14:45O. Horak1.80111012113M. Bruk1.916121081
J. Juppa10
WSep 16 · 14:45P. Provaznik1.8011951182J. Juppa1.91711119113LSep 16 · 13:15T. Bertho2.5071111113J. Juppa1.50114661LSep 13 · 12:46J. Juppa1.751711126132L. Hendrych1.951971011153LSep 13 · 12:00J. Juppa1.53118891F. Kubos2.3851111113WSep 13 · 10:30L. Hendrych1.806115111J. Juppa1.9111811133LSep 13 · 10:00J. Marhol2.6391111113J. Juppa1.44116931WSep 8 · 20:14J. Juppa1.80114911113R. Merkl1.9181111882WSep 8 · 19:45J. Simek1.50711851J. Juppa2.5011711113LSep 8 · 18:45R. Merkl1.9111118113J. Juppa1.80891181LSep 8 · 17:15P. Maly1.8391111113J. Juppa1.83114381
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