TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13141338
Played Sep 16Finished
Ondrej Horak
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118116––––
Petr Provaznik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingOndrej Horak above · Petr Provaznik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6
55 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Horak 9–8 Petr Provaznik Petr Provaznik has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Provaznik beat Horak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Horak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorak 1.73 / Provaznik 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Horak)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13141338
Horak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 16 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Provaznik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 33 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorak7wins
AwayProvaznik3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHorak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorak100%5 of 5
AwayProvaznik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horak5Provaznik5n = 10split evenly
S2Horak6Provaznik4n = 10Horak took 6 of 10
S3Horak5Provaznik5n = 10split evenly
S4Horak5Provaznik3n = 8Horak took 5 of 8
S5Horak3Provaznik1n = 4Horak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorakProvaznikH − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.738.6+4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorakProvaznikBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 192 vs 236 / 49348.4%47.9%93 / 192 vs 236 / 493Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakHorak 1.73/Provaznik 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Horak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 13:45O. Horak518111111102P. Provaznik46116134123
WSep 4 · 15:15O. Horak569111312113P. Provaznik49118111452
WJul 21 · 16:33O. Horak4291111113P. Provaznik29114861
WJul 21 · 14:30O. Horak351111133P. Provaznik2366110
WJul 14 · 15:15O. Horak50117116153P. Provaznik46411711132
WJul 8 · 16:38O. Horak4211119113P. Provaznik34881171
LJul 8 · 14:00O. Horak31611861P. Provaznik4211911113
WJun 25 · 14:45O. Horak4211911113P. Provaznik30811561
WJun 16 · 15:00O. Horak5811111211133P. Provaznik53813147112
LJun 5 · 16:14O. Horak2010730P. Provaznik341211113
O. Horak10
LSep 16 · 15:45O. Horak2.00441181J. Juppa1.7311115113WSep 16 · 14:15T. Bertho2.202980O. Horak1.611111113LSep 16 · 13:45P. Provaznik2.00116134123O. Horak1.738111111102WSep 11 · 17:03P. Hala1.6713760O. Horak2.101511113WSep 11 · 15:30A. Pavlik2.00104100O. Horak1.731211123WSep 11 · 15:00O. Horak1.801111113V. Lopata1.917420LSep 11 · 14:00O. Horak2.0039110P. Hala1.731111133LSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111WSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113WSep 4 · 14:45O. Horak1.80111012113M. Bruk1.916121081
P. Provaznik10
LSep 16 · 15:15T. Bertho2.0011711113P. Provaznik1.73611881LSep 16 · 14:45P. Provaznik1.8011951182J. Juppa1.91711119113WSep 16 · 13:45P. Provaznik2.00116134123O. Horak1.738111111102WSep 10 · 20:20P. Provaznik—7121111113O. Chadima—11148892WSep 10 · 19:15O. Chadima2.50126361P. Provaznik1.50101111113LSep 10 · 18:45P. Provaznik1.407511101Z. Kuksa2.7511119102LSep 10 · 17:45P. Provaznik1.831011961V. Herrmann1.8312911113WSep 9 · 17:03P. Hala1.5071131192P. Provaznik2.50119118113WSep 9 · 15:30P. Provaznik2.2513411113T. Hucko1.571111771LSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113
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