TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121995
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Marhol
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116119113––
Jachym Juppa
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeJachym Juppa to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Marhol above · Jachym Juppa below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 71 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Jachym Juppa at 59.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jan Marhol 0–1 Jachym Juppa Jan Marhol has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Juppa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Marhol 1435 vs Juppa 1522
Juppa
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marhol 20% vs Juppa 40%
Juppa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marhol 30% vs Juppa 60%
Juppa
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marhol -3 · Juppa +2
Marhol
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Juppa) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juppa form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarhol 2.63 / Juppa 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Juppa)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13121995
Marhol2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 18 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back32% 7 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back29% 2 of 7
Juppa1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 58 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it65% 47 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMarhol0wins
AwayJuppa1wins
Juppa leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMarholJuppaM − JBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.042.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarholJuppaBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 243 vs 450 / 86150.6%52.3%123 / 243 vs 450 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaMarhol 2.63/Juppa 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Juppa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Marhol won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 9 · 15:15J. Marhol391111981J. Juppa4213711113
J. Marhol10
LSep 12 · 16:29J. Hanacek2.0091113113J. Marhol1.731181181LSep 12 · 14:30J. Marhol1.50115971J. Hanacek2.506111183LSep 12 · 13:30J. Marhol2.007111251F. Kubos1.73111310103WSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122LSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LAug 26 · 17:00J. Marhol1.83119581P. Abraham1.8351111113LAug 26 · 16:00P. Abraham1.91114117113J. Marhol1.8061141132WAug 26 · 15:00F. Schmidtmayer2.20116551J. Marhol1.6161111113
J. Juppa10
WSep 13 · 10:30L. Hendrych1.806115111J. Juppa1.9111811133WSep 8 · 20:14J. Juppa1.80114911113R. Merkl1.9181111882WSep 8 · 19:45J. Simek1.50711851J. Juppa2.5011711113LSep 8 · 18:45R. Merkl1.9111118113J. Juppa1.80891181LSep 8 · 17:15P. Maly1.8391111113J. Juppa1.83114381LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181
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