TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122572
Played Sep 13Finished
Ladislav Hendrych
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111185111113––
Jachym Juppa
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJachym Juppa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Hendrych above · Jachym Juppa below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 76 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Jachym Juppa at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Hendrych 6–4 Jachym Juppa Jachym Juppa has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:52What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hendrych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Hendrych
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hendrych 1483 vs Juppa 1507
Juppa
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hendrych 40% vs Juppa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hendrych 40% vs Juppa 60%
Juppa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hendrych -3 · Juppa -1
Hendrych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Juppa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juppa form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 1.80 / Juppa 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Juppa)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13122572
Hendrych1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 58 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it79% 46 of 58
Juppa1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog49% won 86 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back31% 29 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHendrych6wins
AwayJuppa4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHendrych leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrych66.7%4 of 6
AwayJuppa50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych6Juppa4n = 10Hendrych took 6 of 10
S2Hendrych7Juppa3n = 10Hendrych took 7 of 10
S3Hendrych5Juppa5n = 10split evenly
S4Hendrych4Juppa3n = 7Hendrych took 4 of 7
S5Hendrych1Juppa2n = 3Juppa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHendrychJuppaH − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.236.4+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychJuppaBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 371 vs 450 / 86251.5%52.2%191 / 371 vs 450 / 862Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaHendrych 1.80/Juppa 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Juppa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 21:08L. Hendrych351111133J. Juppa2476110
LAug 10 · 19:00L. Hendrych46111158112J. Juppa52891111133
WJan 6 · 21:33L. Hendrych351211123J. Juppa26106100
LJan 6 · 19:30L. Hendrych46116111172J. Juppa51911137113
LJul 18 · 18:45L. Hendrych27107100J. Juppa351211123
LMay 27 · 21:10L. Hendrych33951181J. Juppa4211119113
WMay 27 · 19:00L. Hendrych4281111123J. Juppa301127101
WApr 21 · 19:15L. Hendrych481111105113J. Juppa3919121162
WApr 12 · 18:30L. Hendrych4211119113J. Juppa35781191
WJan 27 · 20:00L. Hendrych3851111113J. Juppa30116761
L. Hendrych10
LSep 13 · 09:30L. Hendrych1.8081211662F. Kubos1.911110611113LSep 11 · 20:54T. Bertho1.671261111113L. Hendrych2.10101181392LSep 11 · 19:45L. Hendrych1.91101111932T. Bertho1.80128911113WSep 11 · 18:15J. Botka2.101171171L. Hendrych1.6741113113WSep 11 · 17:45K. Jirousek2.38711871L. Hendrych1.5311311113LSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690WAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171
J. Juppa10
LSep 13 · 10:00J. Marhol2.6391111113J. Juppa1.44116931WSep 8 · 20:14J. Juppa1.80114911113R. Merkl1.9181111882WSep 8 · 19:45J. Simek1.50711851J. Juppa2.5011711113LSep 8 · 18:45R. Merkl1.9111118113J. Juppa1.80891181LSep 8 · 17:15P. Maly1.8391111113J. Juppa1.83114381LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181
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