TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122302
Played Sep 13Finished
Ladislav Hendrych
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111210116611611
Filip Kubos
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Hendrych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Hendrych above · Filip Kubos below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Ladislav Hendrych at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Hendrych 11–11 Filip Kubos Dead even across their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:32What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hendrych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-11 in 22
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hendrych 1491 vs Kubos 1576
Kubos
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hendrych 40% vs Kubos 80%
Kubos
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hendrych 50% vs Kubos 80%
Kubos
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hendrych -2 · Kubos +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hendrych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubos form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 1.80 / Kubos 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hendrych)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13122302
Hendrych1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 58 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it79% 46 of 58
Kubos1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 77 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHendrych4wins
AwayKubos6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKubos leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrych66.7%4 of 6
AwayKubos100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych6Kubos4n = 10Hendrych took 6 of 10
S2Hendrych5Kubos5n = 10split evenly
S3Hendrych4Kubos6n = 10Kubos took 6 of 10
S4Hendrych4Kubos3n = 7Hendrych took 4 of 7
S5Hendrych1Kubos3n = 4Kubos took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHendrychKubosH − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.139.7−1.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychKubosBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 374 vs 370 / 71451.3%51.8%192 / 374 vs 370 / 714Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HendrychHendrych 1.80/Kubos 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hendrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kubos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych258890F. Kubos331111113
LAug 29 · 05:45L. Hendrych32511791F. Kubos4111811113
WAug 22 · 18:00L. Hendrych331111113F. Kubos193970
LJul 20 · 20:29L. Hendrych4458121272F. Kubos5311111010113
LJul 20 · 19:00L. Hendrych4614771172F. Kubos531211118113
WJul 6 · 19:00L. Hendrych331111113F. Kubos197840
WJul 4 · 17:30L. Hendrych45111166113F. Kubos4698111172
WFeb 26 · 18:15L. Hendrych3911116113F. Kubos34951191
LFeb 23 · 21:26L. Hendrych50119111182F. Kubos53911139113
LFeb 23 · 20:30L. Hendrych34651581F. Kubos46111113113
L. Hendrych10
LSep 13 · 10:30L. Hendrych1.806115111J. Juppa1.9111811133LSep 11 · 20:54T. Bertho1.671261111113L. Hendrych2.10101181392LSep 11 · 19:45L. Hendrych1.91101111932T. Bertho1.80128911113WSep 11 · 18:15J. Botka2.101171171L. Hendrych1.6741113113WSep 11 · 17:45K. Jirousek2.38711871L. Hendrych1.5311311113LSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690WAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171
F. Kubos10
WSep 12 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8311117123O. Karpisek1.838711101WSep 12 · 16:00J. Hanacek2.258770F. Kubos1.571111113LSep 12 · 15:00O. Karpisek2.1011118113F. Kubos1.67491181WSep 12 · 13:30J. Marhol2.007111251F. Kubos1.73111310103WSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870WSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293WSep 3 · 20:43F. Kubos2.50119119113M. Cizek1.5091181182LSep 3 · 20:00S. Kalensky1.73111139113F. Kubos2.0069111142
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