TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121117
Played Sep 12Finished
Filip Kubos
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181177111210––
Ondrej Karpisek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
How it is goingFilip Kubos above · Ondrej Karpisek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10
77 points played in total.
H2H Filip Kubos 5–2 Ondrej Karpisek Ondrej Karpisek has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Karpisek beat Kubos 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kubos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karpisek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubos 1.83 / Karpisek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kubos)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13121117
Kubos1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Karpisek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKubos5wins
AwayKarpisek2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKubos leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubos75%3 of 4
AwayKarpisek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubos4Karpisek3n = 7Kubos took 4 of 7
S2Kubos5Karpisek2n = 7Kubos took 5 of 7
S3Kubos3Karpisek4n = 7Karpisek took 4 of 7
S4Kubos2Karpisek4n = 6Karpisek took 4 of 6
S5Kubos3Karpisek0n = 3Kubos took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKubosKarpisekKubos − KarpisekBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match41.939.0+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubosKarpisekBasisWin rate · lifetime369 / 713 vs 220 / 46951.8%46.9%369 / 713 vs 220 / 469Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubosKubos 1.83/Karpisek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kubos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kubos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 12 · 15:00F. Kubos32491181O. Karpisek4111118113
WAug 8 · 13:05F. Kubos52811913113O. Karpisek48117111182
LAug 8 · 12:00F. Kubos361195111O. Karpisek4161111133
WMay 10 · 13:30F. Kubos43111110113O. Karpisek35881271
WApr 13 · 20:17F. Kubos47611117123O. Karpisek50119911102
WApr 13 · 17:45F. Kubos50111189113O. Karpisek3736111162
WApr 5 · 19:15F. Kubos331111113O. Karpisek218850
F. Kubos10
WSep 12 · 16:00J. Hanacek2.258770F. Kubos1.571111113LSep 12 · 15:00O. Karpisek2.1011118113F. Kubos1.67491181WSep 12 · 13:30J. Marhol2.007111251F. Kubos1.73111310103WSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870WSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293WSep 3 · 20:43F. Kubos2.50119119113M. Cizek1.5091181182LSep 3 · 20:00S. Kalensky1.73111139113F. Kubos2.0069111142LSep 3 · 19:00M. Cizek1.441011118113F. Kubos2.6312971152
O. Karpisek10
WSep 12 · 15:00O. Karpisek2.1011118113F. Kubos1.67491181WSep 12 · 14:00O. Karpisek1.5771211893J. Hanacek2.25111091172WSep 9 · 21:08J. Mejzlik2.108680O. Karpisek1.671111113WSep 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.73311513113J. Hanacek2.00116111152WSep 9 · 18:30O. Karpisek1.801111910113J. Mejzlik1.9194111272LSep 9 · 17:30O. Karpisek2.103111141M. Vana1.6711613113LAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171LAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460LAug 31 · 18:00M. Vana1.8311119113O. Karpisek1.83641181
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