TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122059
Played Sep 13Finished
Jachym Juppa
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115811811911––
Filip Kubos
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeJachym Juppa to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJachym Juppa above · Filip Kubos below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jachym Juppa at 61.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Juppa 7–7 Filip Kubos Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:58What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Juppa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juppa 1519 vs Kubos 1570
Kubos
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juppa 60% vs Kubos 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juppa 60% vs Kubos 80%
Kubos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Juppa +1 · Kubos -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Juppa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubos form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuppa 1.53 / Kubos 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Juppa)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13122059
Juppa1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite50% won 58 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it65% 47 of 72
Kubos2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 77 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuppa6wins
AwayKubos4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJuppa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuppa62.5%5 of 8
AwayKubosn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juppa8Kubos2n = 10Juppa took 8 of 10
S2Juppa5Kubos5n = 10split evenly
S3Juppa4Kubos6n = 10Kubos took 6 of 10
S4Juppa7Kubos1n = 8Juppa took 7 of 8
S5Juppa1Kubos3n = 4Kubos took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuppaKubosJ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.640.7+2.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuppaKubosBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 863 vs 371 / 71652.3%51.8%451 / 863 vs 371 / 716Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaJuppa 1.53/Kubos 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Juppa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kubos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 9 · 10:45J. Juppa331111113F. Kubos195680
WJun 24 · 13:15J. Juppa4211811123F. Kubos348115101
WJun 20 · 16:21J. Juppa45611611113F. Kubos4711911972
LJun 20 · 15:15J. Juppa361159111F. Kubos4271111133
WJun 6 · 17:30J. Juppa4311128123F. Kubos3761011101
LMay 23 · 14:30J. Juppa49119412132F. Kubos558111110153
WMay 9 · 14:15J. Juppa371115113F. Kubos2971390
LMay 2 · 07:15J. Juppa5713101013112F. Kubos5911121211133
LMay 1 · 19:15J. Juppa46101181162F. Kubos50128118113
WApr 26 · 18:45J. Juppa4811811183F. Kubos354114161
J. Juppa10
LSep 13 · 12:46J. Juppa1.751711126132L. Hendrych1.951971011153WSep 13 · 10:30L. Hendrych1.806115111J. Juppa1.9111811133LSep 13 · 10:00J. Marhol2.6391111113J. Juppa1.44116931WSep 8 · 20:14J. Juppa1.80114911113R. Merkl1.9181111882WSep 8 · 19:45J. Simek1.50711851J. Juppa2.5011711113LSep 8 · 18:45R. Merkl1.9111118113J. Juppa1.80891181LSep 8 · 17:15P. Maly1.8391111113J. Juppa1.83114381LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113
F. Kubos10
LSep 13 · 11:00J. Marhol2.00118411113F. Kubos1.7361111572WSep 13 · 09:30L. Hendrych1.8081211662F. Kubos1.911110611113WSep 12 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8311117123O. Karpisek1.838711101WSep 12 · 16:00J. Hanacek2.258770F. Kubos1.571111113LSep 12 · 15:00O. Karpisek2.1011118113F. Kubos1.67491181WSep 12 · 13:30J. Marhol2.007111251F. Kubos1.73111310103WSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870WSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293
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