TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131389
Played Sep 15Finished
Fedir Chashchin
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119114118––
Anton Yakovenko
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 70.1% is still 70.1%
Graded at full timeAnton Yakovenko to win
70.1%
70.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFedir Chashchin above · Anton Yakovenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Anton Yakovenko at 70.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Chashchin 0–1 Anton Yakovenko Fedir Chashchin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Yakovenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chashchin 1428 vs Yakovenko 1422
Chashchin
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chashchin 60% vs Yakovenko 40%
Chashchin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chashchin 60% vs Yakovenko 40%
Chashchin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chashchin -1 · Yakovenko -3
Yakovenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Yakovenko) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yakovenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChashchin 3.40 / Yakovenko 1.30
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Yakovenko)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13131389
Chashchin3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 17 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back27% 7 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Yakovenko1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 24 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChashchin0wins
AwayYakovenko1wins
Yakovenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChashchinYakovenkoC − YBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match26.038.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChashchinYakovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 192 vs 237 / 47351%50.1%98 / 192 vs 237 / 473Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YakovenkoChashchin 3.40/Yakovenko 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Yakovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chashchin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMar 3 · 16:35F. Chashchin26711621A. Yakovenko3811511113
F. Chashchin10
LSep 15 · 13:05F. Chashchin1.6110760I. Elfemov2.201211113WSep 7 · 18:35O. Korobov1.83117871F. Chashchin1.8371111113WSep 7 · 17:35F. Chashchin2.10661211113V. Hainiuk1.67111110692LSep 7 · 16:35F. Chashchin2.75115971V. Sharpai1.4031111113WSep 7 · 15:05F. Chashchin1.611111103113V. Chumak2.2085121192LSep 7 · 13:05F. Chashchin2.2571112462V. Kaganovych1.571191011113LAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741WAug 31 · 18:05F. Chashchin1.731111113R. Serhyenko2.006650WAug 31 · 16:05V. Chumak2.251110271F. Chashchin1.5791211113WAug 31 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.36111761102F. Chashchin3.00719118113
A. Yakovenko10
LSep 15 · 13:35A. Yakovenko1.571141291V. Hainiuk2.2581114113LSep 1 · 03:05A. Yakovenko3.401412241H. Kulishov1.30121411113LSep 1 · 01:35A. Yakovenko2.38591171M. Fomin1.5311117113WSep 1 · 24:05A. Yakovenko1.5711811123M. Skliar2.257119101WAug 31 · 22:35A. Yakovenko2.0041111113A. Peretiatko1.73118691LAug 31 · 21:05A. Yakovenko2.10119101362D. Kim1.677111211113LAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 02:05A. Yakovenko3.40191161H. Kulishov1.3011118113WAug 28 · 01:05A. Yakovenko2.001113118113D. Kim1.7381591192WAug 27 · 23:35A. Yakovenko2.101113113A. Peretiatko1.6761190
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