TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051342
Played Aug 31Finished
Anton Yakovenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11791110121311611
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:56 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Yakovenko above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 101 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 57.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Anton Yakovenko 23–34 Dmitriy Kim Anton Yakovenko has won 23 of their 57 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kim
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-34 in 57
Kim
Correct
gap of 11 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yakovenko 1421 vs Kim 1513
Kim
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yakovenko 60% vs Kim 40%
Yakovenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yakovenko 30% vs Kim 60%
Kim
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yakovenko -2 · Kim +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kim)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYakovenko 2.10 / Kim 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kim)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13051342
Yakovenko2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 64
Kim1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 73 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it77% 50 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYakovenko5wins
AwayKim5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYakovenko80%4 of 5
AwayKim80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yakovenko5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S2Yakovenko5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S3Yakovenko5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S4Yakovenko1Kim4n = 5Kim took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricYakovenkoKimY − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.536.3−1.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYakovenkoKimBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 496 vs 482 / 100751.2%47.9%254 / 496 vs 482 / 1007Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimYakovenko 2.10/Kim 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 02:05A. Yakovenko—1111113D. Kim—9980
WJul 29 · 22:35A. Yakovenko—168119113D. Kim—141181172
LJul 20 · 13:25A. Yakovenko—611631D. Kim—11711113
WJul 17 · 02:05A. Yakovenko—511711133D. Kim—118117112
WJul 9 · 02:05A. Yakovenko—1112143D. Kim—810120
LJul 5 · 21:05A. Yakovenko—491191D. Kim—11113113
LJun 18 · 22:35A. Yakovenko—11510101D. Kim—81112123
WJun 16 · 24:05A. Yakovenko—1111113D. Kim—6790
LJun 9 · 03:05A. Yakovenko—9750D. Kim—1111113
LJun 2 · 24:05A. Yakovenko—71070D. Kim—1112113
A. Yakovenko10
LSep 1 · 03:05A. Yakovenko3.401412241H. Kulishov1.30121411113LSep 1 · 01:35A. Yakovenko2.38591171M. Fomin1.5311117113WSep 1 · 24:05A. Yakovenko1.5711811123M. Skliar2.257119101WAug 31 · 22:35A. Yakovenko2.0041111113A. Peretiatko1.73118691LAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 02:05A. Yakovenko3.40191161H. Kulishov1.3011118113WAug 28 · 01:05A. Yakovenko2.001113118113D. Kim1.7381591192WAug 27 · 23:35A. Yakovenko2.101113113A. Peretiatko1.6761190WAug 27 · 21:35A. Yakovenko2.001111113M. Skliar1.737770LAug 24 · 19:55V. Kobets1.221111153A. Yakovenko4.0028130
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100LSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102LAug 28 · 01:05A. Yakovenko2.001113118113D. Kim1.7381591192
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