TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051398
Played Aug 31Finished
Anton Yakovenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411118116119––
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:15 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnton Yakovenko above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 71 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 55.3%
71 points played in total.
H2H Anton Yakovenko 24–32 Andrii Peretiatko Anton Yakovenko has won 24 of their 56 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:15What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Peretiatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-32 in 56
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 8 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yakovenko 1428 vs Peretiatko 1472
Peretiatko
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yakovenko 40% vs Peretiatko 60%
Peretiatko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yakovenko 30% vs Peretiatko 50%
Peretiatko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yakovenko -3 · Peretiatko -2
Yakovenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Peretiatko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYakovenko 2.00 / Peretiatko 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Peretiatko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13051398
Yakovenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 64
Peretiatko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 73 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it71% 56 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYakovenko5wins
AwayPeretiatko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYakovenko50%2 of 4
AwayPeretiatko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yakovenko4Peretiatko6n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S2Yakovenko4Peretiatko6n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S3Yakovenko7Peretiatko3n = 10Yakovenko took 7 of 10
S4Yakovenko4Peretiatko3n = 7Yakovenko took 4 of 7
S5Yakovenko2Peretiatko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYakovenkoPeretiatkoY − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.539.9−2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYakovenkoPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 498 vs 356 / 76451.2%46.6%255 / 498 vs 356 / 764Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoYakovenko 2.00/Peretiatko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Yakovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 23:35A. Yakovenko—1113113A. Peretiatko—61190
WAug 18 · 15:25A. Yakovenko—31111113A. Peretiatko—115561
LAug 10 · 21:35A. Yakovenko—831141A. Peretiatko—11117113
LAug 4 · 01:05A. Yakovenko—951181A. Peretiatko—11119113
WJul 22 · 17:24A. Yakovenko—612811123A. Peretiatko—1110119102
LJun 15 · 22:35A. Yakovenko—11914832A. Peretiatko—5111211113
LJun 11 · 19:25A. Yakovenko—111360A. Peretiatko—1315113
LJun 9 · 24:05A. Yakovenko—17531162A. Peretiatko—1511119113
WMay 27 · 17:55A. Yakovenko—651111133A. Peretiatko—111196112
WMay 20 · 15:55A. Yakovenko—1111113A. Peretiatko—7570
A. Yakovenko10
LSep 1 · 03:05A. Yakovenko3.401412241H. Kulishov1.30121411113LSep 1 · 01:35A. Yakovenko2.38591171M. Fomin1.5311117113WSep 1 · 24:05A. Yakovenko1.5711811123M. Skliar2.257119101LAug 31 · 21:05A. Yakovenko2.10119101362D. Kim1.677111211113LAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 02:05A. Yakovenko3.40191161H. Kulishov1.3011118113WAug 28 · 01:05A. Yakovenko2.001113118113D. Kim1.7381591192WAug 27 · 23:35A. Yakovenko2.101113113A. Peretiatko1.6761190WAug 27 · 21:35A. Yakovenko2.001111113M. Skliar1.737770LAug 24 · 19:55V. Kobets1.221111153A. Yakovenko4.0028130
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192WSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740LSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970LAug 27 · 23:35A. Yakovenko2.101113113A. Peretiatko1.6761190
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