TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022685
Played Aug 27Finished
Anton Yakovenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161311119––––
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:05 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnton Yakovenko above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 61 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 59.4%
61 points played in total.
H2H Anton Yakovenko 23–32 Andrii Peretiatko Anton Yakovenko has won 23 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Peretiatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-32 in 55
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 9 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yakovenko 1406 vs Peretiatko 1470
Peretiatko
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yakovenko 20% vs Peretiatko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yakovenko 10% vs Peretiatko 40%
Peretiatko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yakovenko +1 · Peretiatko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Peretiatko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYakovenko 2.10 / Peretiatko 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Peretiatko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13022685
Yakovenko2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 64
Peretiatko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 71 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it83% 40 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it69% 54 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYakovenko4wins
AwayPeretiatko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPeretiatko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYakovenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayPeretiatko57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yakovenko3Peretiatko7n = 10Peretiatko took 7 of 10
S2Yakovenko3Peretiatko7n = 10Peretiatko took 7 of 10
S3Yakovenko6Peretiatko4n = 10Yakovenko took 6 of 10
S4Yakovenko4Peretiatko3n = 7Yakovenko took 4 of 7
S5Yakovenko2Peretiatko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricYakovenkoPeretiatkoY − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.040.6−4.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYakovenkoPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 497 vs 351 / 75351.1%46.6%254 / 497 vs 351 / 753Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoYakovenko 2.10/Peretiatko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Yakovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 15:25A. Yakovenko—31111113A. Peretiatko—115561
LAug 10 · 21:35A. Yakovenko—831141A. Peretiatko—11117113
LAug 4 · 01:05A. Yakovenko—951181A. Peretiatko—11119113
WJul 22 · 17:24A. Yakovenko—612811123A. Peretiatko—1110119102
LJun 15 · 22:35A. Yakovenko—11914832A. Peretiatko—5111211113
LJun 11 · 19:25A. Yakovenko—111360A. Peretiatko—1315113
LJun 9 · 24:05A. Yakovenko—17531162A. Peretiatko—1511119113
WMay 27 · 17:55A. Yakovenko—651111133A. Peretiatko—111196112
WMay 20 · 15:55A. Yakovenko—1111113A. Peretiatko—7570
LMay 14 · 15:05A. Yakovenko—5690A. Peretiatko—1111113
A. Yakovenko10
LSep 1 · 03:05A. Yakovenko3.401412241H. Kulishov1.30121411113LSep 1 · 01:35A. Yakovenko2.38591171M. Fomin1.5311117113WSep 1 · 24:05A. Yakovenko1.5711811123M. Skliar2.257119101WAug 31 · 22:35A. Yakovenko2.0041111113A. Peretiatko1.73118691LAug 31 · 21:05A. Yakovenko2.10119101362D. Kim1.677111211113LAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 02:05A. Yakovenko3.40191161H. Kulishov1.3011118113WAug 28 · 01:05A. Yakovenko2.001113118113D. Kim1.7381591192WAug 27 · 21:35A. Yakovenko2.001111113M. Skliar1.737770LAug 24 · 19:55V. Kobets1.221111153A. Yakovenko4.0028130
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192WSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740LSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970LAug 31 · 22:35A. Yakovenko2.0041111113A. Peretiatko1.73118691
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