TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022751
Played Aug 28Finished
Anton Yakovenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181315119811119
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:03 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingAnton Yakovenko above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 106 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 56.9%
106 points played in total.
H2H Anton Yakovenko 23–34 Dmitriy Kim Anton Yakovenko has won 23 of their 57 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kim
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-34 in 57
Kim
Wrong
gap of 11 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yakovenko 1423 vs Kim 1519
Kim
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yakovenko 40% vs Kim 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yakovenko 20% vs Kim 50%
Kim
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yakovenko +2 · Kim +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kim) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYakovenko 2.00 / Kim 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kim)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13022751
Yakovenko2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 64
Kim1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it77% 50 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYakovenko5wins
AwayKim5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYakovenko80%4 of 5
AwayKim80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yakovenko5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S2Yakovenko5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S3Yakovenko5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S4Yakovenko1Kim4n = 5Kim took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricYakovenkoKimY − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.536.3−1.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYakovenkoKimBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 498 vs 485 / 101151.2%48%255 / 498 vs 485 / 1011Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimYakovenko 2.00/Kim 1.73
Miss
What we said
54.9%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Yakovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 02:05A. Yakovenko—1111113D. Kim—9980
WJul 29 · 22:35A. Yakovenko—168119113D. Kim—141181172
LJul 20 · 13:25A. Yakovenko—611631D. Kim—11711113
WJul 17 · 02:05A. Yakovenko—511711133D. Kim—118117112
WJul 9 · 02:05A. Yakovenko—1112143D. Kim—810120
LJul 5 · 21:05A. Yakovenko—491191D. Kim—11113113
LJun 18 · 22:35A. Yakovenko—11510101D. Kim—81112123
WJun 16 · 24:05A. Yakovenko—1111113D. Kim—6790
LJun 9 · 03:05A. Yakovenko—9750D. Kim—1111113
LJun 2 · 24:05A. Yakovenko—71070D. Kim—1112113
A. Yakovenko10
LSep 1 · 03:05A. Yakovenko3.401412241H. Kulishov1.30121411113LSep 1 · 01:35A. Yakovenko2.38591171M. Fomin1.5311117113WSep 1 · 24:05A. Yakovenko1.5711811123M. Skliar2.257119101WAug 31 · 22:35A. Yakovenko2.0041111113A. Peretiatko1.73118691LAug 31 · 21:05A. Yakovenko2.10119101362D. Kim1.677111211113LAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 02:05A. Yakovenko3.40191161H. Kulishov1.3011118113WAug 27 · 23:35A. Yakovenko2.101113113A. Peretiatko1.6761190WAug 27 · 21:35A. Yakovenko2.001111113M. Skliar1.737770LAug 24 · 19:55V. Kobets1.221111153A. Yakovenko4.0028130
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100LSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102WAug 31 · 21:05A. Yakovenko2.10119101362D. Kim1.677111211113
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