TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051372
Played Sep 1Finished
Anton Yakovenko
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
14121214211411––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:14 and never touched — 75.9% is still 75.9%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
75.9%
75.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Yakovenko above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 80 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 75.9%
80 points played in total.
H2H Anton Yakovenko 19–28 Hryhorii Kulishov Anton Yakovenko has won 19 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-28 in 47
Kulishov
Correct
gap of 9 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yakovenko 1434 vs Kulishov 1596
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yakovenko 40% vs Kulishov 60%
Kulishov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yakovenko 50% vs Kulishov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yakovenko -1 · Kulishov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYakovenko 3.40 / Kulishov 1.30
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Kulishov)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13051372
Yakovenko3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 64
Kulishov1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 179 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it94% 101 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it73% 137 of 188
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYakovenko1wins
AwayKulishov9wins
Kulishov leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYakovenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKulishov100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yakovenko2Kulishov8n = 10Kulishov took 8 of 10
S2Yakovenko2Kulishov8n = 10Kulishov took 8 of 10
S3Yakovenko2Kulishov8n = 10Kulishov took 8 of 10
S4Yakovenko1Kulishov4n = 5Kulishov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricYakovenkoKulishovY − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match26.536.9−10.4per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYakovenkoKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 501 vs 477 / 93151.1%51.2%256 / 501 vs 477 / 931Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovYakovenko 3.40/Kulishov 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.9%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 03:05A. Yakovenko—1412241H. Kulishov—121411113
LAug 28 · 02:05A. Yakovenko—191161H. Kulishov—11118113
LAug 24 · 15:25A. Yakovenko—15130H. Kulishov—1111153
LAug 19 · 14:55A. Yakovenko—2870H. Kulishov—1111113
LAug 17 · 18:25A. Yakovenko—711861H. Kulishov—11711113
LAug 11 · 01:05A. Yakovenko—9530H. Kulishov—1111113
LAug 4 · 03:05A. Yakovenko—991141H. Kulishov—11117113
LJul 29 · 21:05A. Yakovenko—6980H. Kulishov—1111113
WJul 16 · 21:35A. Yakovenko—11117113H. Kulishov—791141
LJul 9 · 01:05A. Yakovenko—9970H. Kulishov—1111113
A. Yakovenko10
LSep 1 · 01:35A. Yakovenko2.38591171M. Fomin1.5311117113WSep 1 · 24:05A. Yakovenko1.5711811123M. Skliar2.257119101WAug 31 · 22:35A. Yakovenko2.0041111113A. Peretiatko1.73118691LAug 31 · 21:05A. Yakovenko2.10119101362D. Kim1.677111211113LAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 02:05A. Yakovenko3.40191161H. Kulishov1.3011118113WAug 28 · 01:05A. Yakovenko2.001113118113D. Kim1.7381591192WAug 27 · 23:35A. Yakovenko2.101113113A. Peretiatko1.6761190WAug 27 · 21:35A. Yakovenko2.001111113M. Skliar1.737770LAug 24 · 19:55V. Kobets1.221111153A. Yakovenko4.0028130
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113WAug 28 · 02:05A. Yakovenko3.40191161H. Kulishov1.3011118113
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