TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051451
Played Sep 1Finished
Anton Yakovenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511911117711––
Mykyta Fomin
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:35 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeMykyta Fomin to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Yakovenko above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Mykyta Fomin at 60.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Anton Yakovenko 11–13 Mykyta Fomin Anton Yakovenko has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-13 in 24
Fomin
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yakovenko 1452 vs Fomin 1488
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yakovenko 40% vs Fomin 60%
Fomin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yakovenko 50% vs Fomin 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yakovenko +2 · Fomin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Fomin)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYakovenko 2.38 / Fomin 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Fomin)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13051451
Yakovenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 64
Fomin1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 55 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it80% 28 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it69% 42 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYakovenko4wins
AwayFomin6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYakovenko40%2 of 5
AwayFomin60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yakovenko5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S2Yakovenko3Fomin7n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S3Yakovenko6Fomin4n = 10Yakovenko took 6 of 10
S4Yakovenko3Fomin4n = 7Fomin took 4 of 7
S5Yakovenko2Fomin3n = 5Fomin took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricYakovenkoFominY − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.740.5−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYakovenkoFominBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 499 vs 265 / 54351.3%48.8%256 / 499 vs 265 / 543Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominYakovenko 2.38/Fomin 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 23:35A. Yakovenko—6840M. Fomin—1111113
WAug 3 · 23:35A. Yakovenko—117115143M. Fomin—611511122
WJul 16 · 23:35A. Yakovenko—111311113M. Fomin—1311941
LJul 9 · 03:05A. Yakovenko—1111107102M. Fomin—971211123
LJun 23 · 16:05A. Yakovenko—117111032M. Fomin—511512113
LJun 19 · 01:35A. Yakovenko—5770M. Fomin—1111113
LJun 16 · 01:35A. Yakovenko—97111152M. Fomin—111179113
WJun 11 · 17:25A. Yakovenko—851311113M. Fomin—111111952
LJun 8 · 22:35A. Yakovenko—1110891M. Fomin—91211113
WMay 27 · 15:55A. Yakovenko—1111143M. Fomin—92120
A. Yakovenko10
LSep 1 · 03:05A. Yakovenko3.401412241H. Kulishov1.30121411113WSep 1 · 24:05A. Yakovenko1.5711811123M. Skliar2.257119101WAug 31 · 22:35A. Yakovenko2.0041111113A. Peretiatko1.73118691LAug 31 · 21:05A. Yakovenko2.10119101362D. Kim1.677111211113LAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 02:05A. Yakovenko3.40191161H. Kulishov1.3011118113WAug 28 · 01:05A. Yakovenko2.001113118113D. Kim1.7381591192WAug 27 · 23:35A. Yakovenko2.101113113A. Peretiatko1.6761190WAug 27 · 21:35A. Yakovenko2.001111113M. Skliar1.737770LAug 24 · 19:55V. Kobets1.221111153A. Yakovenko4.0028130
M. Fomin10
LSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113LSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102LSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981LSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113WSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:35M. Fomin2.5011811123D. Kim1.509114101LSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113
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