TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131349
Played Sep 15Finished
Anton Yakovenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1184111214911––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeAnton Yakovenko to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Yakovenko above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Anton Yakovenko at 58.9%
80 points played in total.
H2H Anton Yakovenko 29–26 Volodymyr Hainiuk Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 26 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:52What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Yakovenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-26 in 55
Yakovenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yakovenko 1434 vs Hainiuk 1416
Yakovenko
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yakovenko 40% vs Hainiuk 80%
Hainiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yakovenko 50% vs Hainiuk 90%
Hainiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yakovenko -2 · Hainiuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Yakovenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYakovenko 1.57 / Hainiuk 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Yakovenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131349
Yakovenko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 24 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Hainiuk2.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 44 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYakovenko7wins
AwayHainiuk3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderYakovenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYakovenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayHainiuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yakovenko7Hainiuk3n = 10Yakovenko took 7 of 10
S2Yakovenko3Hainiuk7n = 10Hainiuk took 7 of 10
S3Yakovenko6Hainiuk4n = 10Yakovenko took 6 of 10
S4Yakovenko5Hainiuk1n = 6Yakovenko took 5 of 6
S5Yakovenko2Hainiuk1n = 3Yakovenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricYakovenkoHainiukY − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.031.0+6.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYakovenkoHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 501 vs 367 / 67351.1%54.5%256 / 501 vs 367 / 673Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YakovenkoYakovenko 1.57/Hainiuk 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Yakovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 25 · 16:25A. Yakovenko158340V. Hainiuk331111113
WJun 23 · 13:35A. Yakovenko4111811113V. Hainiuk26211851
WJun 11 · 18:25A. Yakovenko44116511113V. Hainiuk4181111472
WSep 23 · 13:35A. Yakovenko44111111113V. Hainiuk32133791
WSep 9 · 13:35A. Yakovenko331111113V. Hainiuk123270
LSep 8 · 18:25A. Yakovenko45114111182V. Hainiuk46311138113
WSep 4 · 16:05A. Yakovenko3911611113V. Hainiuk26511461
LSep 2 · 16:05A. Yakovenko2711970V. Hainiuk351311113
WSep 1 · 13:35A. Yakovenko491161110113V. Hainiuk4471161282
WAug 21 · 13:35A. Yakovenko331111113V. Hainiuk154560
A. Yakovenko10
LSep 15 · 15:05F. Chashchin3.4081111113A. Yakovenko1.30119481LSep 1 · 03:05A. Yakovenko3.401412241H. Kulishov1.30121411113LSep 1 · 01:35A. Yakovenko2.38591171M. Fomin1.5311117113WSep 1 · 24:05A. Yakovenko1.5711811123M. Skliar2.257119101WAug 31 · 22:35A. Yakovenko2.0041111113A. Peretiatko1.73118691LAug 31 · 21:05A. Yakovenko2.10119101362D. Kim1.677111211113LAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 02:05A. Yakovenko3.40191161H. Kulishov1.3011118113WAug 28 · 01:05A. Yakovenko2.001113118113D. Kim1.7381591192WAug 27 · 23:35A. Yakovenko2.101113113A. Peretiatko1.6761190
V. Hainiuk10
WSep 15 · 14:35V. Hainiuk3.001111133A. Lifanov1.3649110LSep 14 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501071261V. Kaganovych1.50121110113WSep 14 · 17:35I. Elfemov2.00611791V. Hainiuk1.7311711113WSep 14 · 15:35O. Korobov1.3311115172V. Hainiuk3.25951111113WSep 14 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.531111113V. Sydorenko2.382840WSep 14 · 13:35V. Sharpai1.5371140V. Hainiuk2.381113113WSep 8 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8061111143I. Elfemov1.911166121WSep 8 · 17:35V. Sydorenko2.3846111282V. Hainiuk1.531111710113WSep 8 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.448870V. Hainiuk2.631111113WSep 8 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.301111113R. Serhyenko3.403940
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