TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131344
Played Sep 15Finished
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141191311––––
Andrii Lifanov
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lifanov to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Hainiuk above · Andrii Lifanov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 59 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Andrii Lifanov at 72.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Hainiuk 17–26 Andrii Lifanov Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 17 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Lifanov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-26 in 43
Lifanov
Wrong
gap of 9 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hainiuk 1428 vs Lifanov 1460
Lifanov
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hainiuk 80% vs Lifanov 60%
Hainiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hainiuk 90% vs Lifanov 50%
Hainiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hainiuk +1 · Lifanov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Lifanov) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lifanov form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHainiuk 3.00 / Lifanov 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Lifanov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13131344
Hainiuk3.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 44 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Lifanov1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 116 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it83% 90 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHainiuk2wins
AwayLifanov8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLifanov leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHainiuk50%2 of 4
AwayLifanov100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hainiuk4Lifanov6n = 10Lifanov took 6 of 10
S2Hainiuk1Lifanov9n = 10Lifanov took 9 of 10
S3Hainiuk2Lifanov8n = 10Lifanov took 8 of 10
S4Hainiuk0Lifanov3n = 3Lifanov took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricHainiukLifanovH − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match29.335.3−6.0per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHainiukLifanovBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 674 vs 209 / 37554.6%55.7%368 / 674 vs 209 / 375Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LifanovHainiuk 3.00/Lifanov 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70%
Lifanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 14:25V. Hainiuk2815670A. Lifanov391711113
LAug 25 · 15:35V. Hainiuk28108100A. Lifanov351211123
WAug 10 · 14:55V. Hainiuk331111113A. Lifanov154650
LAug 3 · 19:35V. Hainiuk187650A. Lifanov331111113
LJul 31 · 14:25V. Hainiuk249780A. Lifanov331111113
LJul 27 · 20:25V. Hainiuk36119881A. Lifanov4291111113
WJul 20 · 17:35V. Hainiuk47116118113A. Lifanov4371171172
LJul 6 · 18:05V. Hainiuk29118100A. Lifanov361311123
LJun 30 · 12:35V. Hainiuk28124661A. Lifanov43101111113
LJun 25 · 14:25V. Hainiuk2210660A. Lifanov341211113
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 15 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.5011911113V. Hainiuk2.50811891WSep 15 · 13:35A. Yakovenko1.571141291V. Hainiuk2.2581114113LSep 14 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501071261V. Kaganovych1.50121110113WSep 14 · 17:35I. Elfemov2.00611791V. Hainiuk1.7311711113WSep 14 · 15:35O. Korobov1.3311115172V. Hainiuk3.25951111113WSep 14 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.531111113V. Sydorenko2.382840WSep 14 · 13:35V. Sharpai1.5371140V. Hainiuk2.381113113WSep 8 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8061111143I. Elfemov1.911166121WSep 8 · 17:35V. Sydorenko2.3846111282V. Hainiuk1.531111710113WSep 8 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.448870V. Hainiuk2.631111113
A. Lifanov10
LSep 15 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.61911711113A. Lifanov2.2011911942LSep 10 · 19:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Lifanov2.005840WSep 10 · 18:55A. Azarov3.255590A. Lifanov1.331111113WSep 10 · 17:25V. Sharpai1.6761111382A. Lifanov2.10119811113WSep 10 · 15:25D. Boltenkov2.1012119252A. Lifanov1.671071111113LSep 10 · 13:25I. Elfemov2.63111149113A. Lifanov1.4446111122LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101
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