TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105778
Played Sep 10Finished
Valentyn Chumak
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118114––––
Andrii Lifanov
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:37 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeValentyn Chumak to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValentyn Chumak above · Andrii Lifanov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 50 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Valentyn Chumak at 54.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Valentyn Chumak 22–16 Andrii Lifanov Andrii Lifanov has won 16 of their 38 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:37What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chumak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-16 in 38
Chumak
Correct
gap of 6 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chumak 1445 vs Lifanov 1487
Lifanov
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chumak 40% vs Lifanov 60%
Lifanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chumak 50% vs Lifanov 70%
Lifanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chumak -1 · Lifanov +3
Lifanov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chumak) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chumak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChumak 1.73 / Lifanov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chumak)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13105778
Chumak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 61 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it66% 35 of 53
Lifanov2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 20 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back30% 9 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChumak7wins
AwayLifanov3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChumak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChumak100%6 of 6
AwayLifanov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chumak6Lifanov4n = 10Chumak took 6 of 10
S2Chumak7Lifanov3n = 10Chumak took 7 of 10
S3Chumak5Lifanov5n = 10split evenly
S4Chumak4Lifanov4n = 8split evenly
S5Chumak3Lifanov1n = 4Chumak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChumakLifanovC − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.739.6+4.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChumakLifanovBasisWin rate · lifetime283 / 560 vs 209 / 37350.5%56%283 / 560 vs 209 / 373Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChumakChumak 1.73/Lifanov 2.00
Hit
What we said
54%
Chumak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chumak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 17:55V. Chumak—1211123A. Lifanov—106100
WAug 3 · 13:05V. Chumak—1111510113A. Lifanov—68111292
WJul 30 · 17:05V. Chumak—1311107113A. Lifanov—116121132
WJul 27 · 16:55V. Chumak—1811123A. Lifanov—169100
LJul 22 · 17:55V. Chumak—1081291A. Lifanov—121110113
WJul 10 · 16:55V. Chumak—111111113A. Lifanov—881371
LJul 6 · 19:05V. Chumak—891171A. Lifanov—11116113
LJun 30 · 17:05V. Chumak—96111392A. Lifanov—1111411113
WJun 25 · 15:55V. Chumak—121112113A. Lifanov—1041481
WJun 16 · 14:35V. Chumak—6111011113A. Lifanov—11412792
V. Chumak10
LSep 10 · 17:55I. Elfemov3.0031112113V. Chumak1.361181021WSep 10 · 16:55V. Chumak1.331111123A. Azarov3.2599100LSep 10 · 15:55V. Sharpai1.73911511113V. Chumak2.0011411792LSep 10 · 14:25V. Chumak2.385101181D. Boltenkov1.5311125113WSep 7 · 19:05V. Chumak2.20118911113V. Sharpai1.6161111872LSep 7 · 17:05O. Korobov1.33117811133V. Chumak3.25711114112WSep 7 · 16:05V. Chumak1.911112113V. Kaganovych1.8071070LSep 7 · 15:05F. Chashchin1.611111103113V. Chumak2.2085121192WSep 7 · 13:35V. Chumak1.731111113V. Hainiuk2.006670WSep 3 · 19:05V. Chumak1.50121111113I. Elfemov2.501013371
A. Lifanov10
WSep 10 · 18:55A. Azarov3.255590A. Lifanov1.331111113WSep 10 · 17:25V. Sharpai1.6761111382A. Lifanov2.10119811113WSep 10 · 15:25D. Boltenkov2.1012119252A. Lifanov1.671071111113LSep 10 · 13:25I. Elfemov2.63111149113A. Lifanov1.4446111122LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov1.50713511113V. Sydorenko2.50111111592
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.