TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130369
Played Sep 15Finished
Ihor Emets
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
3111121614116––
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:10 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Bilobrov to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Volodymyr Bilobrov below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Volodymyr Bilobrov at 72.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 0–3 Volodymyr Bilobrov Ihor Emets has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Bilobrov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Bilobrov
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1509 vs Bilobrov 1556
Bilobrov
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 60% vs Bilobrov 40%
Emets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 50% vs Bilobrov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets -2 · Bilobrov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Bilobrov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bilobrov form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 3.40 / Bilobrov 1.30
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Bilobrov)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13130369
Emets3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 48 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back22% 16 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 50
Bilobrov1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 30 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeEmets0wins
AwayBilobrov3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBilobrov leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmetsn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBilobrov100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets0Bilobrov3n = 3Bilobrov took 3 of 3
S2Emets1Bilobrov2n = 3Bilobrov took 2 of 3
S3Emets1Bilobrov2n = 3Bilobrov took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricEmetsBilobrovE − BBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match29.041.7−12.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsBilobrovBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 500 vs 73 / 16151%45.3%255 / 500 vs 73 / 161Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BilobrovEmets 3.40/Bilobrov 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Bilobrov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Emets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 25 · 07:00I. Emets2026120V. Bilobrov361111143
LJun 15 · 10:05I. Emets33711871V. Bilobrov4011711113
LMay 25 · 08:30I. Emets3445111132V. Bilobrov49111197113
I. Emets10
LSep 15 · 08:30I. Emets3.2581191182O. Karpenko1.33118118113LSep 15 · 07:00I. Emets4.33411451Y. Kovshun1.2011211113WSep 15 · 05:00I. Emets1.3611512113A. Troyan3.006111081WSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113WSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561WSep 3 · 08:30I. Emets1.7341111113E. Populovskyi2.00114581LSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113LSep 3 · 05:00I. Emets1.501178101S. Solomko2.5051111123LSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572WSep 2 · 09:30I. Emets1.441111113A. Troyan2.636860
V. Bilobrov10
LSep 15 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov1.5710111211133V. Bilobrov2.25125144112WSep 15 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.751111113O. Karpenko1.404660LSep 15 · 05:30Y. Kovshun1.3611711113V. Bilobrov3.00711881LSep 12 · 12:05V. Bilobrov2.204101151A. Troyan1.6111127113WSep 12 · 10:05A. Kotiash1.739720V. Bilobrov2.001111113LSep 12 · 08:05I. Efimenko1.2051111113V. Bilobrov4.33118521LSep 12 · 07:05V. Bilobrov2.505760Y. Kovshun1.501111113WSep 12 · 06:05Y. Volkov1.3671112752V. Bilobrov3.001181011113LSep 11 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.103890A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 11 · 09:30A. Kotiash1.409720V. Bilobrov2.751111113
Upcoming Matches
I. Emets
Nothing scheduled
V. Bilobrov
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.