TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111525
Played Sep 11Finished
Andrii Kotiash
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711211––––
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kotiash to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Kotiash above · Volodymyr Bilobrov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 51 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Andrii Kotiash at 66.3%
51 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotiash 2–0 Volodymyr Bilobrov Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:03What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kotiash
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kotiash 1520 vs Bilobrov 1558
Bilobrov
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotiash 0% vs Bilobrov 40%
Bilobrov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotiash 30% vs Bilobrov 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotiash -5 · Bilobrov -2
Kotiash
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kotiash)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotiash form (0%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotiash 1.40 / Bilobrov 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kotiash)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111525
Kotiash1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 51 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Bilobrov2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 18 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKotiash2wins
AwayBilobrov0wins
Kotiash leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKotiashBilobrovK − BBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.524.5+11.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotiashBilobrovBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 467 vs 72 / 16047.8%45%223 / 467 vs 72 / 160Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotiashKotiash 1.40/Bilobrov 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Kotiash · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bilobrov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 7 · 10:05A. Kotiash—1111113V. Bilobrov—8490
WAug 4 · 11:35A. Kotiash—1611113V. Bilobrov—14950
A. Kotiash10
LSep 11 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.2011184862O. Karpenko1.61216111193LSep 11 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.738950Y. Kovshun2.001111113LSep 11 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.2066100A. Troyan1.611111123LSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123LSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113WSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:30A. Kotiash2.635141211113R. Sopivnyk1.44111610972LSep 4 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.00101050O. Karpenko1.731212113
V. Bilobrov10
LSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.4031116113V. Bilobrov2.751161481LSep 11 · 06:30V. Bilobrov3.0011511992O. Karpenko1.36311811113WSep 11 · 05:30Y. Kovshun1.3351161182V. Bilobrov3.25119115113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123WAug 31 · 09:30I. Emets3.40741191V. Bilobrov1.3011118113WAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.7512911482O. Karpenko1.401011411113LAug 31 · 05:30D. Khairov1.801111123V. Bilobrov1.9148100LAug 25 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.3881180O. Karpenko1.531113113LAug 25 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4411611113V. Bilobrov2.63911971
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