TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111055
Played Sep 11Finished
Yaroslav Kovshun
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511119611115811
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Kovshun to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYaroslav Kovshun above · Volodymyr Bilobrov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Yaroslav Kovshun at 70.3%
88 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Kovshun 9–2 Volodymyr Bilobrov Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kovshun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Kovshun
Wrong
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovshun 1546 vs Bilobrov 1568
Bilobrov
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovshun 80% vs Bilobrov 40%
Kovshun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovshun 50% vs Bilobrov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovshun +1 · Bilobrov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kovshun)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovshun 1.33 / Bilobrov 3.25
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kovshun)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13111055
Kovshun1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 91 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it79% 66 of 84
Bilobrov3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 18 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovshun9wins
AwayBilobrov1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKovshun leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovshun83.3%5 of 6
AwayBilobrov0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovshun6Bilobrov4n = 10Kovshun took 6 of 10
S2Kovshun8Bilobrov2n = 10Kovshun took 8 of 10
S3Kovshun8Bilobrov2n = 10Kovshun took 8 of 10
S4Kovshun5Bilobrov1n = 6Kovshun took 5 of 6
S5Kovshun2Bilobrov1n = 3Kovshun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovshunBilobrovK − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.032.3+7.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovshunBilobrovBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 637 vs 71 / 15753.5%45.2%341 / 637 vs 71 / 157Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovshunKovshun 1.33/Bilobrov 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.3%
Kovshun · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bilobrov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 14 · 07:05Y. Kovshun—11116113V. Bilobrov—341161
WJun 26 · 11:05Y. Kovshun—81111113V. Bilobrov—118391
LJun 7 · 09:05Y. Kovshun—118111042V. Bilobrov—411812113
WMay 25 · 11:00Y. Kovshun—1111113V. Bilobrov—6850
WMay 23 · 08:05Y. Kovshun—1215133V. Bilobrov—1013110
WDec 28 · 10:30Y. Kovshun—1411113V. Bilobrov—12590
WDec 27 · 15:40Y. Kovshun—1071111113V. Bilobrov—12114962
WOct 19 · 05:05Y. Kovshun—1111123V. Bilobrov—61100
WSep 6 · 06:00Y. Kovshun—311911113V. Bilobrov—11911892
WApr 27 · 09:00Y. Kovshun—51111113V. Bilobrov—118981
Y. Kovshun10
WSep 11 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.5011811113A. Troyan2.50611681WSep 11 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.738950Y. Kovshun2.001111113WSep 8 · 11:35D. Khairov3.50811111162Y. Kovshun1.28119413113LSep 8 · 10:35O. Volynets2.101111113Y. Kovshun1.675560WSep 8 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.9177100Y. Kovshun1.801111123WSep 8 · 07:05A. Troyan2.63119117102Y. Kovshun1.44411411123WSep 8 · 05:05O. Osadchyi3.50681181Y. Kovshun1.2811119113LSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272WSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170
V. Bilobrov10
LSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.4031116113V. Bilobrov2.751161481LSep 11 · 06:30V. Bilobrov3.0011511992O. Karpenko1.36311811113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123WAug 31 · 09:30I. Emets3.40741191V. Bilobrov1.3011118113WAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.7512911482O. Karpenko1.401011411113LAug 31 · 05:30D. Khairov1.801111123V. Bilobrov1.9148100LAug 25 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.3881180O. Karpenko1.531113113LAug 25 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4411611113V. Bilobrov2.63911971LAug 25 · 08:00V. Bilobrov1.9111113462A. Troyan1.80961111113
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