TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111269
Played Sep 11Finished
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311811911––––
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Bilobrov above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Bilobrov 4–8 Andrey Troyan Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Troyan
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bilobrov 1582 vs Troyan 1648
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bilobrov 40% vs Troyan 80%
Troyan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bilobrov 40% vs Troyan 90%
Troyan
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bilobrov +1 · Troyan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Troyan) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBilobrov 2.10 / Troyan 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Troyan)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13111269
Bilobrov2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog32% won 18 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Troyan1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 185 of 281
Up 2–0, closes it94% 101 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it79% 139 of 177
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBilobrov3wins
AwayTroyan7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTroyan leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBilobrov37.5%3 of 8
AwayTroyann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bilobrov8Troyan2n = 10Bilobrov took 8 of 10
S2Bilobrov6Troyan4n = 10Bilobrov took 6 of 10
S3Bilobrov3Troyan7n = 10Troyan took 7 of 10
S4Bilobrov4Troyan5n = 9Troyan took 5 of 9
S5Bilobrov0Troyan5n = 5Troyan took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBilobrovTroyanB − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.5−1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBilobrovTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 161 vs 469 / 98745.3%47.5%73 / 161 vs 469 / 987Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanBilobrov 2.10/Troyan 1.67
Hit
What we said
57%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 08:00V. Bilobrov—11113462A. Troyan—961111113
LAug 19 · 07:05V. Bilobrov—12117772A. Troyan—1051111113
WAug 17 · 11:30V. Bilobrov—11119133A. Troyan—7611111
LAug 11 · 08:30V. Bilobrov—11118382A. Troyan—191111113
LAug 10 · 06:35V. Bilobrov—113111152A. Troyan—911138113
WAug 7 · 12:05V. Bilobrov—1111113A. Troyan—6840
WAug 4 · 09:35V. Bilobrov—11115113A. Troyan—691151
LAug 1 · 08:05V. Bilobrov—791171A. Troyan—11118113
LJul 20 · 08:35V. Bilobrov—115581A. Troyan—81111113
LJul 14 · 12:05V. Bilobrov—96111382A. Troyan—1111411113
V. Bilobrov10
WSep 11 · 09:30A. Kotiash1.409720V. Bilobrov2.751111113LSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.4031116113V. Bilobrov2.751161481LSep 11 · 06:30V. Bilobrov3.0011511992O. Karpenko1.36311811113WSep 11 · 05:30Y. Kovshun1.3351161182V. Bilobrov3.25119115113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123WAug 31 · 09:30I. Emets3.40741191V. Bilobrov1.3011118113WAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.7512911482O. Karpenko1.401011411113LAug 31 · 05:30D. Khairov1.801111123V. Bilobrov1.9148100LAug 25 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.3881180O. Karpenko1.531113113
A. Troyan10
WSep 11 · 10:00A. Troyan1.731111113O. Karpenko2.003850LSep 11 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.5011811113A. Troyan2.50611681WSep 11 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.672650A. Troyan2.101111113WSep 11 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.2066100A. Troyan1.611111123WSep 10 · 11:35D. Khairov2.102340A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 10 · 10:35O. Osadchyi4.00591161A. Troyan1.2211119113WSep 10 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov3.00781141A. Troyan1.3611116113WSep 10 · 07:05V. Vietrov2.10121291242A. Troyan1.6710141110113WSep 10 · 05:05O. Volynets2.1041160A. Troyan1.671113113WAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123
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