TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105568
Played Sep 10Finished
Vitalii Vietrov
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
121012149111210411
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:15 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Vietrov above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 105 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 57.4%
105 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Vietrov 2–7 Andrey Troyan Vitalii Vietrov has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:15What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Troyan
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vietrov 1605 vs Troyan 1593
Vietrov
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vietrov 60% vs Troyan 40%
Vietrov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vietrov 60% vs Troyan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vietrov +1 · Troyan +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVietrov 2.10 / Troyan 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Troyan)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13105568
Vietrov2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 12 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back38% 6 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back25% 2 of 8
Troyan1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 180 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it78% 135 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVietrov2wins
AwayTroyan7wins
1 of 9 to a deciderTroyan leads 7–2, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVietrov50%2 of 4
AwayTroyan100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vietrov4Troyan5n = 9Troyan took 5 of 9
S2Vietrov1Troyan8n = 9Troyan took 8 of 9
S3Vietrov3Troyan6n = 9Troyan took 6 of 9
S4Vietrov3Troyan3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricVietrovTroyanV − TBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match32.038.2−6.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVietrovTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 82 vs 463 / 98059.8%47.2%49 / 82 vs 463 / 980Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanVietrov 2.10/Troyan 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 10 · 07:05V. Vietrov—121291242A. Troyan—10141110113
LJun 28 · 12:05V. Vietrov—118691A. Troyan—71111113
LJun 20 · 07:05V. Vietrov—861361A. Troyan—111111113
WFeb 8 · 08:35V. Vietrov—11713113A. Troyan—4111181
LFeb 28 · 20:20V. Vietrov—6750A. Troyan—1111113
WJan 31 · 17:50V. Vietrov—11911113A. Troyan—611491
LJan 22 · 14:40V. Vietrov—10620A. Troyan—1211113
LJan 21 · 14:40V. Vietrov—6860A. Troyan—1111113
LJan 17 · 22:50V. Vietrov—4111071A. Troyan—11712103
V. Vietrov10
WSep 10 · 06:05D. Khairov2.38111061152V. Vietrov1.53512111113LJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113WJul 25 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.801111511102V. Vietrov1.91713119123LJul 25 · 08:35V. Vietrov2.75681141A. Lobanov1.4011119113WJul 25 · 07:35Y. Kovshun1.80781181V. Vietrov1.9111116113WJul 25 · 06:05V. Vietrov2.10515118113O. Tymofeev1.67111331192LJun 28 · 12:05V. Vietrov2.10118691A. Troyan1.6771111113WJun 28 · 10:05D. Khairov2.10881101V. Vietrov1.6711112113WJun 28 · 08:05Y. Kovshun1.67119101182V. Vietrov2.10711129113LJun 28 · 07:05V. Vietrov1.8311115672Y. Volkov1.83531111113
A. Troyan10
WSep 10 · 05:05O. Volynets2.1041160A. Troyan1.671113113WSep 8 · 12:05A. Troyan1.611111113O. Volynets2.208660LSep 8 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.251111113A. Troyan3.755960LSep 8 · 08:05O. Osadchyi5.0071111113A. Troyan1.14119651LSep 8 · 07:05A. Troyan2.63119117102Y. Kovshun1.44411411123LSep 8 · 06:05D. Khairov2.2011911123A. Troyan1.619115101WSep 7 · 11:30S. Solomko3.002670A. Troyan1.361111113WSep 7 · 10:00A. Troyan1.801111143O. Volynets1.9146120WSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WJun 28 · 12:05V. Vietrov2.10118691A. Troyan1.6771111113
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