TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116610
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711611––––
Yaroslav Kovshun
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Kovshun to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Bilobrov above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Yaroslav Kovshun at 67.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Bilobrov 3–10 Yaroslav Kovshun Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:14What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kovshun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Kovshun
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bilobrov 1569 vs Kovshun 1598
Kovshun
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bilobrov 40% vs Kovshun 80%
Kovshun
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bilobrov 50% vs Kovshun 70%
Kovshun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bilobrov +1 · Kovshun +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kovshun) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBilobrov 2.50 / Kovshun 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Kovshun)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13116610
Bilobrov2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog33% won 20 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back18% 5 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Kovshun1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 93 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it79% 68 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBilobrov2wins
AwayKovshun8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKovshun leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBilobrov33.3%1 of 3
AwayKovshun85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bilobrov3Kovshun7n = 10Kovshun took 7 of 10
S2Bilobrov2Kovshun8n = 10Kovshun took 8 of 10
S3Bilobrov2Kovshun8n = 10Kovshun took 8 of 10
S4Bilobrov1Kovshun4n = 5Kovshun took 4 of 5
S5Bilobrov2Kovshun1n = 3Bilobrov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricBilobrovKovshunB − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.439.1−8.7per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBilobrovKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 164 vs 346 / 64445.1%53.7%74 / 164 vs 346 / 644Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovshunBilobrov 2.50/Kovshun 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Kovshun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kovshun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 07:05V. Bilobrov—5760Y. Kovshun—1111113
WSep 11 · 05:30V. Bilobrov—119115113Y. Kovshun—51161182
LJul 14 · 07:05V. Bilobrov—341161Y. Kovshun—11116113
LJun 26 · 11:05V. Bilobrov—118391Y. Kovshun—81111113
WJun 7 · 09:05V. Bilobrov—411812113Y. Kovshun—118111042
LMay 25 · 11:00V. Bilobrov—6850Y. Kovshun—1111113
LMay 23 · 08:05V. Bilobrov—1013110Y. Kovshun—1215133
LDec 28 · 10:30V. Bilobrov—12590Y. Kovshun—1411113
LDec 27 · 15:40V. Bilobrov—12114962Y. Kovshun—1071111113
LOct 19 · 05:05V. Bilobrov—61100Y. Kovshun—1111123
V. Bilobrov10
WSep 12 · 06:05Y. Volkov1.3671112752V. Bilobrov3.001181011113LSep 11 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.103890A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 11 · 09:30A. Kotiash1.409720V. Bilobrov2.751111113LSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.4031116113V. Bilobrov2.751161481LSep 11 · 06:30V. Bilobrov3.0011511992O. Karpenko1.36311811113WSep 11 · 05:30Y. Kovshun1.3351161182V. Bilobrov3.25119115113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123WAug 31 · 09:30I. Emets3.40741191V. Bilobrov1.3011118113WAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.7512911482O. Karpenko1.401011411113
Y. Kovshun10
WSep 12 · 05:05I. Efimenko1.44103111242Y. Kovshun2.631211810113WSep 11 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.7311149113O. Karpenko2.005121131LSep 11 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.8091812113Y. Kovshun1.9111161051WSep 11 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.5011811113A. Troyan2.50611681WSep 11 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.738950Y. Kovshun2.001111113LSep 11 · 05:30Y. Kovshun1.3351161182V. Bilobrov3.25119115113WSep 8 · 11:35D. Khairov3.50811111162Y. Kovshun1.28119413113LSep 8 · 10:35O. Volynets2.101111113Y. Kovshun1.675560WSep 8 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.9177100Y. Kovshun1.801111123WSep 8 · 07:05A. Troyan2.63119117102Y. Kovshun1.44411411123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.