TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117516
Played Sep 12Finished
Ivan Efimenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10123111181210411
Yaroslav Kovshun
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:54 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Efimenko to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Efimenko above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 92 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Ivan Efimenko at 67.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Efimenko 2–0 Yaroslav Kovshun Yaroslav Kovshun has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Efimenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Efimenko 1740 vs Kovshun 1569
Efimenko
Wrong
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Efimenko 100% vs Kovshun 60%
Efimenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Efimenko 70% vs Kovshun 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Efimenko +5 · Kovshun +1
Efimenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Efimenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEfimenko 1.44 / Kovshun 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Efimenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13117516
Efimenko1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 9 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Kovshun2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 45 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeEfimenko2wins
AwayKovshun0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderEfimenko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricEfimenkoKovshunE − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match47.044.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEfimenkoKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 15 vs 344 / 64266.7%53.6%10 / 15 vs 344 / 642Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoEfimenko 1.44/Kovshun 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kovshun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko—148115113Y. Kovshun—121171162
WAug 29 · 07:05I. Efimenko—91111143Y. Kovshun—1199121
I. Efimenko10
WSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113WAug 29 · 10:05A. Kotiash3.755660I. Efimenko1.251111113LAug 29 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.83114911113I. Efimenko1.8311111992WAug 29 · 07:05I. Efimenko1.3691111143Y. Kovshun3.001199121LAug 29 · 06:05A. Troyan3.401111113I. Efimenko1.308680
Y. Kovshun10
WSep 11 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.7311149113O. Karpenko2.005121131LSep 11 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.8091812113Y. Kovshun1.9111161051WSep 11 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.5011811113A. Troyan2.50611681WSep 11 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.738950Y. Kovshun2.001111113LSep 11 · 05:30Y. Kovshun1.3351161182V. Bilobrov3.25119115113WSep 8 · 11:35D. Khairov3.50811111162Y. Kovshun1.28119413113LSep 8 · 10:35O. Volynets2.101111113Y. Kovshun1.675560WSep 8 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.9177100Y. Kovshun1.801111123LSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LAug 29 · 07:05I. Efimenko1.3691111143Y. Kovshun3.001199121
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