TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116624
Played Sep 12Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111181210711511
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Volodymyr Bilobrov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 93 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 71.2%
93 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 12–5 Volodymyr Bilobrov Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Volkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-5 in 17
Volkov
Wrong
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1622 vs Bilobrov 1583
Volkov
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Bilobrov 40%
Volkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 40% vs Bilobrov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +3 · Bilobrov -1
Volkov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Volkov) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volkov form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.36 / Bilobrov 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Volkov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13116624
Volkov1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 162 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it96% 79 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it85% 116 of 137
Bilobrov3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog33% won 20 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back18% 5 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov7wins
AwayBilobrov3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVolkov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov100%3 of 3
AwayBilobrov42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov3Bilobrov7n = 10Bilobrov took 7 of 10
S2Volkov7Bilobrov3n = 10Volkov took 7 of 10
S3Volkov7Bilobrov3n = 10Volkov took 7 of 10
S4Volkov5Bilobrov2n = 7Volkov took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovBilobrovV − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.534.7+2.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovBilobrovBasisWin rate · lifetime416 / 781 vs 74 / 16353.3%45.4%416 / 781 vs 74 / 163Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.36/Bilobrov 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.4%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bilobrov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 06:05Y. Volkov—71112752V. Bilobrov—1181011113
WSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov—31116113V. Bilobrov—1161481
WAug 25 · 09:00Y. Volkov—11611113V. Bilobrov—911971
LAug 19 · 09:35Y. Volkov—7580V. Bilobrov—1111113
WAug 17 · 07:30Y. Volkov—111110113V. Bilobrov—771271
WAug 11 · 10:00Y. Volkov—91111113V. Bilobrov—119631
LAug 10 · 07:35Y. Volkov—5690V. Bilobrov—1111113
WAug 7 · 07:05Y. Volkov—1112113V. Bilobrov—81080
WAug 4 · 06:05Y. Volkov—71111113V. Bilobrov—114511
WAug 1 · 07:05Y. Volkov—1511116113V. Bilobrov—17871132
Y. Volkov10
WSep 11 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.30611911113A. Kotiash3.4011311392WSep 11 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.8091812113Y. Kovshun1.9111161051WSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.4031116113V. Bilobrov2.751161481LSep 11 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.672650A. Troyan2.101111113LSep 11 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.4011591192O. Karpenko2.75911119113LSep 8 · 10:30Y. Volkov2.103690D. Habrelyan1.671111113LSep 8 · 09:00Y. Volkov2.2511113692M. Tiutiunnyk1.57271111113LSep 8 · 06:00Y. Volkov2.0012101281Y. Holoborodko1.73141210113WSep 8 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.401711143O. Karpenko2.75154120LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191
V. Bilobrov10
LSep 12 · 07:05V. Bilobrov2.505760Y. Kovshun1.501111113LSep 11 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.103890A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 11 · 09:30A. Kotiash1.409720V. Bilobrov2.751111113LSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.4031116113V. Bilobrov2.751161481LSep 11 · 06:30V. Bilobrov3.0011511992O. Karpenko1.36311811113WSep 11 · 05:30Y. Kovshun1.3351161182V. Bilobrov3.25119115113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123WAug 31 · 09:30I. Emets3.40741191V. Bilobrov1.3011118113WAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.7512911482O. Karpenko1.401011411113
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