TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130340
Played Sep 15Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101211512141141311
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Volodymyr Bilobrov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 103 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 58.9%
103 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 3–1 Volodymyr Bilobrov Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kolesnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kolesnykov
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1590 vs Bilobrov 1556
Kolesnykov
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Bilobrov 40%
Kolesnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 70% vs Bilobrov 40%
Kolesnykov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov -1 · Bilobrov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kolesnykov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.57 / Bilobrov 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13130340
Kolesnykov1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 89 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it74% 58 of 78
Bilobrov2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 20 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKolesnykov3wins
AwayBilobrov1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov2Bilobrov2n = 4split evenly
S2Kolesnykov3Bilobrov1n = 4Kolesnykov took 3 of 4
S3Kolesnykov3Bilobrov1n = 4Kolesnykov took 3 of 4
S4Kolesnykov2Bilobrov1n = 3Kolesnykov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKolesnykovBilobrovK − BBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match45.239.8+5.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovBilobrovBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 664 vs 73 / 16153.3%45.3%354 / 664 vs 73 / 161Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.57/Bilobrov 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 15 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov5710111211133V. Bilobrov46125144112
WJul 20 · 07:35V. Kolesnykov4261213113V. Bilobrov3711101151
LJun 26 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov49111413382V. Bilobrov578161111113
WJun 8 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov331111113V. Bilobrov195590
V. Kolesnykov10
LSep 15 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov3.00119331A. Troyan1.3681111113WSep 15 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov1.8311211113O. Karpenko1.83811591WSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123WSep 10 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov1.731111113V. Vietrov2.005250LSep 10 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov3.00781141A. Troyan1.3611116113WSep 10 · 07:35V. Kolesnykov2.2512411123D. Khairov1.5710118101WSep 10 · 05:35V. Kolesnykov1.61111013113O. Osadchyi2.208121171LSep 7 · 10:30O. Osadchyi2.5011119143V. Kolesnykov1.509811121WSep 7 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.7381111113S. Solomko2.00118891WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov2.1061111113O. Volynets1.67119871
V. Bilobrov10
WSep 15 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.751111113O. Karpenko1.404660LSep 15 · 05:30Y. Kovshun1.3611711113V. Bilobrov3.00711881LSep 12 · 12:05V. Bilobrov2.204101151A. Troyan1.6111127113WSep 12 · 10:05A. Kotiash1.739720V. Bilobrov2.001111113LSep 12 · 08:05I. Efimenko1.2051111113V. Bilobrov4.33118521LSep 12 · 07:05V. Bilobrov2.505760Y. Kovshun1.501111113WSep 12 · 06:05Y. Volkov1.3671112752V. Bilobrov3.001181011113LSep 11 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.103890A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 11 · 09:30A. Kotiash1.409720V. Bilobrov2.751111113LSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.4031116113V. Bilobrov2.751161481
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.