TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105850
Played Sep 10Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115112115––––
Vitalii Vietrov
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Vitalii Vietrov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 45 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 54.0%
45 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 3–1 Vitalii Vietrov Vitalii Vietrov has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:44What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolesnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kolesnykov
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1543 vs Vietrov 1612
Vietrov
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Vietrov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 50% vs Vietrov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov -1 · Vietrov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolesnykov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.73 / Vietrov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13105850
Kolesnykov1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 100 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it74% 64 of 87
Vietrov2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 12 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back38% 6 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back25% 2 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKolesnykov3wins
AwayVietrov1wins
4 of 4 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 3–1, and 4 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov66.7%2 of 3
AwayVietrovn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov3Vietrov1n = 4Kolesnykov took 3 of 4
S2Kolesnykov3Vietrov1n = 4Kolesnykov took 3 of 4
S3Kolesnykov1Vietrov3n = 4Vietrov took 3 of 4
S4Kolesnykov1Vietrov3n = 4Vietrov took 3 of 4
S5Kolesnykov3Vietrov1n = 4Kolesnykov took 3 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home375%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKolesnykovVietrovK − VBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match48.844.0+4.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovVietrovBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 668 vs 50 / 8353.1%60.2%355 / 668 vs 50 / 83Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.73/Vietrov 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WFeb 8 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov—119711113V. Vietrov—51111762
WNov 22 · 20:50V. Kolesnykov—9111111113V. Vietrov—11961322
LNov 8 · 16:20V. Kolesnykov—131121262V. Vietrov—115111483
WMar 9 · 12:20V. Kolesnykov—1112114113V. Vietrov—910131132
V. Kolesnykov10
WSep 10 · 11:05O. Volynets2.00102100V. Kolesnykov1.731211123LSep 10 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov3.00781141A. Troyan1.3611116113WSep 10 · 07:35V. Kolesnykov2.2512411123D. Khairov1.5710118101WSep 10 · 05:35V. Kolesnykov1.61111013113O. Osadchyi2.208121171LSep 7 · 10:30O. Osadchyi2.5011119143V. Kolesnykov1.509811121WSep 7 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.7381111113S. Solomko2.00118891WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov2.1061111113O. Volynets1.67119871LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113LSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441
V. Vietrov10
LSep 10 · 12:05V. Vietrov1.676430O. Osadchyi2.101111113WSep 10 · 08:05O. Volynets1.83107100V. Vietrov1.831211123LSep 10 · 07:05V. Vietrov2.10121291242A. Troyan1.6710141110113WSep 10 · 06:05D. Khairov2.38111061152V. Vietrov1.53512111113LJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113WJul 25 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.801111511102V. Vietrov1.91713119123LJul 25 · 08:35V. Vietrov2.75681141A. Lobanov1.4011119113WJul 25 · 07:35Y. Kovshun1.80781181V. Vietrov1.9111116113WJul 25 · 06:05V. Vietrov2.10515118113O. Tymofeev1.67111331192LJun 28 · 12:05V. Vietrov2.10118691A. Troyan1.6771111113
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