TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117513
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111012117511––
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:54 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Bilobrov above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 59.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Bilobrov 4–10 Andrey Troyan Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 22:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Troyan
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bilobrov 1580 vs Troyan 1632
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bilobrov 40% vs Troyan 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bilobrov 40% vs Troyan 60%
Troyan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bilobrov +1 · Troyan -3
Troyan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBilobrov 2.20 / Troyan 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Troyan)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13117513
Bilobrov2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog33% won 20 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back18% 5 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Troyan1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 188 of 284
Up 2–0, closes it94% 104 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it79% 142 of 180
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBilobrov3wins
AwayTroyan7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTroyan leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBilobrov37.5%3 of 8
AwayTroyann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bilobrov8Troyan2n = 10Bilobrov took 8 of 10
S2Bilobrov7Troyan3n = 10Bilobrov took 7 of 10
S3Bilobrov2Troyan8n = 10Troyan took 8 of 10
S4Bilobrov3Troyan5n = 8Troyan took 5 of 8
S5Bilobrov0Troyan5n = 5Troyan took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBilobrovTroyanB − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.840.0−2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBilobrovTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 166 vs 471 / 99245.2%47.5%75 / 166 vs 471 / 992Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanBilobrov 2.20/Troyan 1.61
Hit
What we said
59.7%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 11:30V. Bilobrov203890A. Troyan331111113
LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov48111197102A. Troyan51981111123
LAug 25 · 08:00V. Bilobrov3511113462A. Troyan48961111113
LAug 19 · 07:05V. Bilobrov4412117772A. Troyan481051111113
WAug 17 · 11:30V. Bilobrov4411119133A. Troyan357611111
LAug 11 · 08:30V. Bilobrov4111118382A. Troyan43191111113
LAug 10 · 06:35V. Bilobrov41113111152A. Troyan52911138113
WAug 7 · 12:05V. Bilobrov331111113A. Troyan186840
WAug 4 · 09:35V. Bilobrov3811115113A. Troyan31691151
LAug 1 · 08:05V. Bilobrov34791171A. Troyan4111118113
V. Bilobrov10
WSep 12 · 10:05A. Kotiash1.739720V. Bilobrov2.001111113LSep 12 · 08:05I. Efimenko1.2051111113V. Bilobrov4.33118521LSep 12 · 07:05V. Bilobrov2.505760Y. Kovshun1.501111113WSep 12 · 06:05Y. Volkov1.3671112752V. Bilobrov3.001181011113LSep 11 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.103890A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 11 · 09:30A. Kotiash1.409720V. Bilobrov2.751111113LSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.4031116113V. Bilobrov2.751161481LSep 11 · 06:30V. Bilobrov3.0011511992O. Karpenko1.36311811113WSep 11 · 05:30Y. Kovshun1.3351161182V. Bilobrov3.25119115113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123
A. Troyan10
LSep 12 · 10:35A. Troyan2.3811117972Y. Kovshun1.53641111113LSep 12 · 08:35Y. Volkov1.5711113113A. Troyan2.25881151LSep 12 · 06:35I. Efimenko1.3681311113A. Troyan3.001111881WSep 12 · 05:35A. Kotiash2.5021090A. Troyan1.501112113WSep 11 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.103890A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 11 · 10:00A. Troyan1.731111113O. Karpenko2.003850LSep 11 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.5011811113A. Troyan2.50611681WSep 11 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.672650A. Troyan2.101111113WSep 11 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.2066100A. Troyan1.611111123WAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123
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