TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116615
Played Sep 12Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118118311115––
Andrey Troyan
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 68 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 58.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 119–102 Andrey Troyan Andrey Troyan has won 102 of their 221 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:14What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Volkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
119-102 in 221
Volkov
Correct
gap of 17 in 221, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1630 vs Troyan 1657
Troyan
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 80% vs Troyan 60%
Volkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 40% vs Troyan 80%
Troyan
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +1 · Troyan -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Volkov) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.57 / Troyan 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Volkov)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13116615
Volkov1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 162 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it96% 79 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it85% 116 of 137
Troyan2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog30% won 56 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back15% 17 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov5wins
AwayTroyan5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov33.3%1 of 3
AwayTroyan42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov3Troyan7n = 10Troyan took 7 of 10
S2Volkov3Troyan7n = 10Troyan took 7 of 10
S3Volkov6Troyan4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S4Volkov3Troyan4n = 7Troyan took 4 of 7
S5Volkov4Troyan1n = 5Volkov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovTroyanV − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.140.4−5.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 782 vs 471 / 99053.3%47.6%417 / 782 vs 471 / 990Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.57/Troyan 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 06:00Y. Volkov—2650A. Troyan—1111113
WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov—512115113A. Troyan—111091152
LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov—12811752A. Troyan—1011811113
WAug 29 · 09:35Y. Volkov—1111113A. Troyan—8780
WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Volkov—861111113A. Troyan—11118672
WAug 22 · 10:35Y. Volkov—1371111113A. Troyan—15119772
WAug 20 · 06:30Y. Volkov—771111113A. Troyan—11117782
LAug 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov—116551A. Troyan—91111113
LAug 17 · 06:00Y. Volkov—611381A. Troyan—11711113
LAug 15 · 06:35Y. Volkov—1780A. Troyan—1111113
Y. Volkov10
WSep 12 · 07:35A. Kotiash3.406101101Y. Volkov1.3011129113LSep 12 · 06:05Y. Volkov1.3671112752V. Bilobrov3.001181011113WSep 11 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.30611911113A. Kotiash3.4011311392WSep 11 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.8091812113Y. Kovshun1.9111161051WSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.4031116113V. Bilobrov2.751161481LSep 11 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.672650A. Troyan2.101111113LSep 11 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.4011591192O. Karpenko2.75911119113LSep 8 · 10:30Y. Volkov2.103690D. Habrelyan1.671111113LSep 8 · 09:00Y. Volkov2.2511113692M. Tiutiunnyk1.57271111113LSep 8 · 06:00Y. Volkov2.0012101281Y. Holoborodko1.73141210113
A. Troyan10
LSep 12 · 06:35I. Efimenko1.3681311113A. Troyan3.001111881WSep 12 · 05:35A. Kotiash2.5021090A. Troyan1.501112113WSep 11 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.103890A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 11 · 10:00A. Troyan1.731111113O. Karpenko2.003850LSep 11 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.5011811113A. Troyan2.50611681WSep 11 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.672650A. Troyan2.101111113WSep 11 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.2066100A. Troyan1.611111123WSep 10 · 11:35D. Khairov2.102340A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 10 · 10:35O. Osadchyi4.00591161A. Troyan1.2211119113WSep 10 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov3.00781141A. Troyan1.3611116113
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