TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130344
Played Sep 15Finished
Yaroslav Kovshun
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117711118118––
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:15 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Kovshun to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Kovshun above · Volodymyr Bilobrov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Yaroslav Kovshun at 71.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Kovshun 10–3 Volodymyr Bilobrov Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:15What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kovshun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-3 in 13
Kovshun
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovshun 1636 vs Bilobrov 1561
Kovshun
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovshun 100% vs Bilobrov 40%
Kovshun
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovshun 80% vs Bilobrov 40%
Kovshun
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovshun +5 · Bilobrov -1
Kovshun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Kovshun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovshun 1.36 / Bilobrov 3.00
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Kovshun)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13130344
Kovshun1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 94 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it81% 67 of 83
Bilobrov3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 20 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovshun8wins
AwayBilobrov2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKovshun leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovshun85.7%6 of 7
AwayBilobrov33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovshun7Bilobrov3n = 10Kovshun took 7 of 10
S2Kovshun8Bilobrov2n = 10Kovshun took 8 of 10
S3Kovshun8Bilobrov2n = 10Kovshun took 8 of 10
S4Kovshun4Bilobrov1n = 5Kovshun took 4 of 5
S5Kovshun1Bilobrov2n = 3Bilobrov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovshunBilobrovK − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.130.4+8.7per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovshunBilobrovBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 637 vs 74 / 16254%45.7%344 / 637 vs 74 / 162Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovshunKovshun 1.36/Bilobrov 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Kovshun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kovshun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 07:05Y. Kovshun331111113V. Bilobrov185760
LSep 11 · 05:30Y. Kovshun4151161182V. Bilobrov47119115113
WJul 14 · 07:05Y. Kovshun3911116113V. Bilobrov24341161
WJun 26 · 11:05Y. Kovshun4181111113V. Bilobrov31118391
LJun 7 · 09:05Y. Kovshun44118111042V. Bilobrov46411812113
WMay 25 · 11:00Y. Kovshun331111113V. Bilobrov196850
WMay 23 · 08:05Y. Kovshun401215133V. Bilobrov341013110
WDec 28 · 10:30Y. Kovshun361411113V. Bilobrov2612590
WDec 27 · 15:40Y. Kovshun501071111113V. Bilobrov4212114962
WOct 19 · 05:05Y. Kovshun341111123V. Bilobrov1761100
Y. Kovshun10
WSep 15 · 07:00I. Emets4.33411451Y. Kovshun1.2011211113WSep 12 · 11:35Y. Volkov1.8011211762Y. Kovshun1.91611911113WSep 12 · 10:35A. Troyan2.3811117972Y. Kovshun1.53641111113WSep 12 · 09:05A. Kotiash2.20111791182Y. Kovshun1.61219118113WSep 12 · 07:05V. Bilobrov2.505760Y. Kovshun1.501111113WSep 12 · 05:05I. Efimenko1.44103111242Y. Kovshun2.631211810113WSep 11 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.7311149113O. Karpenko2.005121131LSep 11 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.8091812113Y. Kovshun1.9111161051WSep 11 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.5011811113A. Troyan2.50611681WSep 11 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.738950Y. Kovshun2.001111113
V. Bilobrov10
WSep 15 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.751111113O. Karpenko1.404660LSep 12 · 12:05V. Bilobrov2.204101151A. Troyan1.6111127113WSep 12 · 10:05A. Kotiash1.739720V. Bilobrov2.001111113LSep 12 · 08:05I. Efimenko1.2051111113V. Bilobrov4.33118521LSep 12 · 07:05V. Bilobrov2.505760Y. Kovshun1.501111113WSep 12 · 06:05Y. Volkov1.3671112752V. Bilobrov3.001181011113LSep 11 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.103890A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 11 · 09:30A. Kotiash1.409720V. Bilobrov2.751111113LSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.4031116113V. Bilobrov2.751161481LSep 11 · 06:30V. Bilobrov3.0011511992O. Karpenko1.36311811113
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