TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129171
Played Sep 14Finished
Matyas Rojka
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114114911811119
Roman Jonas
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:12 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMatyas Rojka to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatyas Rojka above · Roman Jonas below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Matyas Rojka at 58.9%
89 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rojka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Rojka 1357 vs Jonas 1357
Rojka
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rojka 40% vs Jonas 20%
Rojka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rojka 60% vs Jonas 30%
Rojka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rojka +2 · Jonas -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rojka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jonas form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRojka 1.57 / Jonas 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Rojka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13129171
Rojka1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 23 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Jonas2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog9% won 1 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRojkaJonasBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 204 vs 33 / 7447.6%44.6%97 / 204 vs 33 / 74Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RojkaRojka 1.57/Jonas 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Rojka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rojka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Rojka10
WSep 14 · 21:35M. Rojka1.731111113T. Krcil2.005290WSep 14 · 19:05T. Krcil1.736790M. Rojka2.001111113WSep 14 · 18:35M. Cyrus1.916760M. Rojka1.801111113LSep 9 · 17:05T. Motacek1.501111113M. Rojka2.505780LSep 9 · 16:35M. Rojka1.732740T. Motacek2.001111113LSep 9 · 15:05P. Pesout2.101311911133M. Rojka1.67156119112LSep 9 · 14:35M. Chmelicek2.00111011113M. Rojka1.73612591WSep 7 · 21:45M. Rojka2.011112113J. Martin1.6641070WSep 7 · 20:35J. Hajek1.57311111452M. Rojka2.251113612113WSep 7 · 19:35M. Rojka2.201114113T. Krcil1.6161280
R. Jonas10
WSep 14 · 21:05M. Cyrus2.00331191R. Jonas1.7311117113LSep 14 · 19:35R. Jonas1.83971151M. Cyrus1.8311119113LSep 14 · 18:05T. Krcil1.4411911113R. Jonas2.63711591WAug 25 · 21:10J. Kabelka2.108370R. Jonas1.671111113LAug 25 · 20:35M. Flesar2.2511312113R. Jonas1.579111051LAug 25 · 19:35R. Jonas2.00511891L. Vosyka1.7311411113LAug 25 · 18:05J. Kabelka1.9171211123R. Jonas1.8011109101WJul 27 · 21:20R. Jonas1.611112113M. Chmelicek2.2091030LJul 27 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.501110119113R. Jonas1.5071261152WJul 27 · 19:35R. Jonas1.801111113M. Chmelicek1.918830
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