TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103338
Played Sep 9Finished
Petr Pesout
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13151169111191311
Matyas Rojka
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:51 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeMatyas Rojka to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Pesout above · Matyas Rojka below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 109 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Matyas Rojka at 57.8%
109 points played in total.
H2H Petr Pesout 1–6 Matyas Rojka Petr Pesout has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:51What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rojka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Rojka
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pesout 1387 vs Rojka 1356
Pesout
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pesout 80% vs Rojka 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pesout 60% vs Rojka 40%
Pesout
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pesout +1 · Rojka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Rojka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rojka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPesout 2.10 / Rojka 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Rojka)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13103338
Pesout2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 36 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Rojka1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 25 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePesout1wins
AwayRojka6wins
Rojka leads 6–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePesout25%1 of 4
AwayRojka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pesout4Rojka3n = 7Pesout took 4 of 7
S2Pesout0Rojka7n = 7Rojka took 7 of 7
S3Pesout2Rojka5n = 7Rojka took 5 of 7
S4Pesout1Rojka4n = 5Rojka took 4 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricPesoutRojkaP − RBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match31.939.1−7.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPesoutRojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 324 vs 95 / 19946.6%47.7%151 / 324 vs 95 / 199Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RojkaPesout 2.10/Rojka 1.67
Hit
What we said
57.8%
Rojka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pesout won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJun 24 · 11:05P. Pesout—127951M. Rojka—101111113
LFeb 20 · 18:40P. Pesout—1161351M. Rojka—71115113
LFeb 20 · 16:05P. Pesout—1110951M. Rojka—81211113
WFeb 3 · 16:35P. Pesout—11711113M. Rojka—911981
LJan 28 · 16:05P. Pesout—8560M. Rojka—1111113
LJan 15 · 18:35P. Pesout—881191M. Rojka—11119113
LJan 15 · 16:05P. Pesout—9880M. Rojka—1111113
P. Pesout10
LSep 9 · 16:05P. Pesout1.619390M. Chmelicek2.201111113WSep 9 · 14:05P. Pesout2.00111112113T. Motacek1.73981481LSep 6 · 13:35P. Pesout1.80611881T. Motacek1.9111811113WSep 6 · 12:05M. Chmelicek1.91911941P. Pesout1.8011711113WSep 6 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6311811121P. Pesout1.4481113143WSep 6 · 10:35P. Pesout1.83111247113T. Motacek1.83910111192LSep 2 · 17:35M. Flesar1.341111113P. Pesout2.805480WSep 2 · 16:35P. Pesout1.831111113M. Cyrus1.837230WSep 2 · 15:05L. Vosyka1.3661570P. Pesout3.001117113LSep 2 · 14:35M. Flesar1.44711211113P. Pesout2.6311711562
M. Rojka10
LSep 9 · 14:35M. Chmelicek2.00111011113M. Rojka1.73612591WSep 7 · 21:45M. Rojka2.011112113J. Martin1.6641070WSep 7 · 20:35J. Hajek1.57311111452M. Rojka2.251113612113WSep 7 · 19:35M. Rojka2.201114113T. Krcil1.6161280WSep 7 · 18:05J. Martin1.288470M. Rojka3.501111113LSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551LSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:35M. Rojka1.916411131M. Chmelicek1.8011118153LSep 6 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.6791111113M. Rojka2.10117531LSep 4 · 21:45M. Cyrus2.101111314113M. Rojka1.67135111282
Upcoming Matches
P. Pesout
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M. Rojka
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