TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13012830
Played Aug 25Finished
Roman Jonas
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511114811911––
Ladislav Vosyka
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Jonas above · Ladislav Vosyka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Roman Jonas 0–1 Ladislav Vosyka Roman Jonas has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jonas 1392 vs Vosyka 1504
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jonas 40% vs Vosyka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jonas 40% vs Vosyka 60%
Vosyka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jonas -1 · Vosyka -3
Vosyka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJonas 2.00 / Vosyka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vosyka)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13012830
Jonas2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog10% won 1 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Vosyka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 69 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it75% 52 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJonas0wins
AwayVosyka1wins
Vosyka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJonasVosykaJ − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match33.037.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJonasVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 70 vs 200 / 39345.7%50.9%32 / 70 vs 200 / 393Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaJonas 2.00/Vosyka 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 25 · 19:35R. Jonas—511891L. Vosyka—11411113
R. Jonas10
WAug 25 · 21:10J. Kabelka2.108370R. Jonas1.671111113LAug 25 · 20:35M. Flesar2.2511312113R. Jonas1.579111051LAug 25 · 18:05J. Kabelka1.9171211123R. Jonas1.8011109101WJul 27 · 21:20R. Jonas1.611112113M. Chmelicek2.2091030LJul 27 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.501110119113R. Jonas1.5071261152WJul 27 · 19:35R. Jonas1.801111113M. Chmelicek1.918830LJul 27 · 18:05J. Vidourek1.61691111113R. Jonas2.2011117582WJul 13 · 21:35M. Dvorak3.701111611112R. Jonas1.21661113133WJul 13 · 20:35R. Jonas1.671111113R. Jaros2.004920LJul 13 · 19:05J. Kabelka2.06111145113R. Jonas1.6296111182
L. Vosyka10
WSep 8 · 21:33M. Flesar2.0051111942L. Vosyka1.73119411113LSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.8331111113M. Flesar1.83118691WSep 8 · 18:05R. Neterda1.73811811L. Vosyka2.0011911113LSep 7 · 17:09D. Hons2.201111113L. Vosyka1.618280LSep 7 · 16:35D. Hons2.0081112113L. Vosyka1.731151071LSep 7 · 15:35L. Vosyka2.009650R. Fitl1.731111113LSep 7 · 14:05R. Fnukal1.831111119113L. Vosyka1.8351381162WSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840LSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113
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