TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12308726
Played Jul 27Finished
Jan Vidourek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611911117115118
Roman Jonas
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:46 and never touched — 66.4% is still 66.4%
Graded at full timeJan Vidourek to win
66.4%
66.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vidourek above · Roman Jonas below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 90 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jan Vidourek at 66.4%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vidourek 4–1 Roman Jonas Roman Jonas has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:46What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vidourek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Vidourek
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vidourek 1507 vs Jonas 1378
Vidourek
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vidourek 60% vs Jonas 40%
Vidourek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vidourek 60% vs Jonas 40%
Vidourek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vidourek +3 · Jonas +2
Vidourek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vidourek) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVidourek 1.61 / Jonas 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Vidourek)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12308726
Vidourek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 38 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Jonas2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVidourek4wins
AwayJonas1wins
3 of 5 to a deciderVidourek leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVidourek66.7%2 of 3
AwayJonasn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vidourek3Jonas2n = 5Vidourek took 3 of 5
S2Vidourek3Jonas2n = 5Vidourek took 3 of 5
S3Vidourek3Jonas2n = 5Vidourek took 3 of 5
S4Vidourek3Jonas2n = 5Vidourek took 3 of 5
S5Vidourek2Jonas1n = 3Vidourek took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricVidourekJonasV − JBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match43.239.2+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVidourekJonasBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 264 vs 30 / 6451.5%46.9%136 / 264 vs 30 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VidourekVidourek 1.61/Jonas 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Vidourek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vidourek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJun 10 · 20:05J. Vidourek—12611133R. Jonas—10116111
WJun 4 · 21:40J. Vidourek—51111113R. Jonas—116651
LJun 4 · 19:05J. Vidourek—11115862R. Jonas—771111113
WApr 21 · 20:05J. Vidourek—961111113R. Jonas—11116752
WApr 9 · 19:05J. Vidourek—111168113R. Jonas—98111142
J. Vidourek10
WSep 8 · 21:03J. Vidourek2.0081111113R. Neterda1.73116551WSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 19:05R. Neterda1.618119101J. Vidourek2.2011611123LSep 8 · 18:35M. Flesar2.001111113J. Vidourek1.737880LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113LSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113
R. Jonas10
WAug 25 · 21:10J. Kabelka2.108370R. Jonas1.671111113LAug 25 · 20:35M. Flesar2.2511312113R. Jonas1.579111051LAug 25 · 19:35R. Jonas2.00511891L. Vosyka1.7311411113LAug 25 · 18:05J. Kabelka1.9171211123R. Jonas1.8011109101WJul 27 · 21:20R. Jonas1.611112113M. Chmelicek2.2091030LJul 27 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.501110119113R. Jonas1.5071261152WJul 27 · 19:35R. Jonas1.801111113M. Chmelicek1.918830WJul 13 · 21:35M. Dvorak3.701111611112R. Jonas1.21661113133WJul 13 · 20:35R. Jonas1.671111113R. Jaros2.004920LJul 13 · 19:05J. Kabelka2.06111145113R. Jonas1.6296111182
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