TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13015306
Played Aug 25Finished
Jan Kabelka
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811311711––––
Roman Jonas
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJan Kabelka above · Roman Jonas below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11
51 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kabelka 5–7 Roman Jonas Jan Kabelka has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jonas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jonas form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKabelka 2.10 / Jonas 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Jonas)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #13015306
Kabelka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 48 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back24% 13 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Jonas1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 9 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKabelka5wins
AwayJonas5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKabelka66.7%4 of 6
AwayJonas75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kabelka6Jonas4n = 10Kabelka took 6 of 10
S2Kabelka3Jonas7n = 10Jonas took 7 of 10
S3Kabelka6Jonas4n = 10Kabelka took 6 of 10
S4Kabelka4Jonas5n = 9Jonas took 5 of 9
S5Kabelka3Jonas3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKabelkaJonasK − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.642.4−0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKabelkaJonasBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 250 vs 32 / 7149.2%45.1%123 / 250 vs 32 / 71Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JonasKabelka 2.10/Jonas 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Jonas · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jonas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 18:05J. Kabelka—71211123R. Jonas—11109101
WJul 27 · 20:35J. Kabelka—1110119113R. Jonas—71261152
WJul 13 · 19:05J. Kabelka—111145113R. Jonas—96111182
LJun 30 · 18:35J. Kabelka—610111192R. Jonas—111257113
WJun 4 · 18:35J. Kabelka—1151111133R. Jonas—911513112
LApr 23 · 19:05J. Kabelka—281151R. Jonas—11117113
LApr 9 · 20:35J. Kabelka—2970R. Jonas—1111113
WJan 13 · 22:35J. Kabelka—111011143R. Jonas—6125121
LJan 13 · 20:05J. Kabelka—111112332R. Jonas—551411113
LJan 6 · 22:45J. Kabelka—1110111192R. Jonas—512138113
J. Kabelka10
WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180LSep 2 · 21:18M. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7341180LSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.8011211632M. Rojka1.91611311113LSep 1 · 21:18J. Kabelka2.004570T. Krcil1.731111113
R. Jonas10
LAug 25 · 20:35M. Flesar2.2511312113R. Jonas1.579111051LAug 25 · 19:35R. Jonas2.00511891L. Vosyka1.7311411113LAug 25 · 18:05J. Kabelka1.9171211123R. Jonas1.8011109101WJul 27 · 21:20R. Jonas1.611112113M. Chmelicek2.2091030LJul 27 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.501110119113R. Jonas1.5071261152WJul 27 · 19:35R. Jonas1.801111113M. Chmelicek1.918830LJul 27 · 18:05J. Vidourek1.61691111113R. Jonas2.2011117582WJul 13 · 21:35M. Dvorak3.701111611112R. Jonas1.21661113133WJul 13 · 20:35R. Jonas1.671111113R. Jaros2.004920LJul 13 · 19:05J. Kabelka2.06111145113R. Jonas1.6296111182
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