TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13100934
Played Sep 8Finished
Jan Vidourek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811116115115––
Radek Neterda
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingJan Vidourek above · Radek Neterda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 68 set 4, 11-5
68 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vidourek 5–6 Radek Neterda Jan Vidourek has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Vidourek beat Neterda 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Neterda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neterda form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVidourek 2.00 / Neterda 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Neterda)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13100934
Vidourek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 47 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Neterda1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 56 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it74% 39 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVidourek4wins
AwayNeterda6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNeterda leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVidourek60%3 of 5
AwayNeterda80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vidourek5Neterda5n = 10split evenly
S2Vidourek6Neterda4n = 10Vidourek took 6 of 10
S3Vidourek5Neterda5n = 10split evenly
S4Vidourek4Neterda5n = 9Neterda took 5 of 9
S5Vidourek1Neterda3n = 4Neterda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVidourekNeterdaV − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.940.4−2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVidourekNeterdaBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 319 vs 199 / 39552%50.4%166 / 319 vs 199 / 395Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeterdaVidourek 2.00/Neterda 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Neterda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vidourek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 19:05J. Vidourek—11611123R. Neterda—8119101
LAug 31 · 19:35J. Vidourek—711791R. Neterda—11811113
WJul 26 · 21:40J. Vidourek—1112113R. Neterda—51030
LJul 26 · 18:35J. Vidourek—71261242R. Neterda—11101110113
LJul 26 · 17:43J. Vidourek—5111081R. Neterda—11912113
WJul 26 · 14:05J. Vidourek—71211123R. Neterda—11109101
WJul 2 · 19:35J. Vidourek—111145113R. Neterda—94111132
LJun 28 · 21:40J. Vidourek—116681R. Neterda—81111113
LJun 28 · 19:05J. Vidourek—11312882R. Neterda—8111011113
LMar 8 · 21:05J. Vidourek—48111152R. Neterda—111153113
J. Vidourek10
WSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 19:05R. Neterda1.618119101J. Vidourek2.2011611123LSep 8 · 18:35M. Flesar2.001111113J. Vidourek1.737880LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113LSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991
R. Neterda10
LSep 8 · 20:05R. Neterda1.44811761M. Flesar2.6311411113LSep 8 · 19:05R. Neterda1.618119101J. Vidourek2.2011611123LSep 8 · 18:05R. Neterda1.73811811L. Vosyka2.0011911113LSep 7 · 13:43R. Neterda1.67131311392R. Fitl2.101115911113LSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482WSep 7 · 11:35R. Vavricka2.20711691R. Neterda1.6111411113WSep 7 · 10:35R. Neterda1.80111112113R. Fitl1.91431491LSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113WSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:35J. Martin2.3811125542R. Neterda1.535101111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Vidourek
Nothing scheduled
R. Neterda
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