TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098073
Played Sep 8Finished
Radek Neterda
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111169111012––
Jan Vidourek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:50 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeRadek Neterda to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Jan Vidourek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 78 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Radek Neterda at 58.9%
78 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 6–4 Jan Vidourek Jan Vidourek has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Neterda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Neterda
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neterda 1512 vs Vidourek 1455
Neterda
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neterda 40% vs Vidourek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neterda 50% vs Vidourek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Neterda -3 · Vidourek -2
Neterda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Neterda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neterda form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 1.61 / Vidourek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Neterda)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13098073
Neterda1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 56 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it74% 39 of 53
Vidourek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 47 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeterda6wins
AwayVidourek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNeterda leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeterda80%4 of 5
AwayVidourek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neterda5Vidourek5n = 10split evenly
S2Neterda3Vidourek7n = 10Vidourek took 7 of 10
S3Neterda5Vidourek5n = 10split evenly
S4Neterda5Vidourek3n = 8Neterda took 5 of 8
S5Neterda3Vidourek1n = 4Neterda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeterdaVidourekN − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.338.2+2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaVidourekBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 393 vs 164 / 31750.6%51.7%199 / 393 vs 164 / 317Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeterdaNeterda 1.61/Vidourek 2.20
Miss
What we said
58.9%
Neterda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vidourek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 19:35R. Neterda—11811113J. Vidourek—711791
LJul 26 · 21:40R. Neterda—51030J. Vidourek—1112113
WJul 26 · 18:35R. Neterda—11101110113J. Vidourek—71261242
WJul 26 · 17:43R. Neterda—11912113J. Vidourek—5111081
LJul 26 · 14:05R. Neterda—11109101J. Vidourek—71211123
LJul 2 · 19:35R. Neterda—94111132J. Vidourek—111145113
WJun 28 · 21:40R. Neterda—81111113J. Vidourek—116681
WJun 28 · 19:05R. Neterda—8111011113J. Vidourek—11312882
WMar 8 · 21:05R. Neterda—111153113J. Vidourek—48111152
LJan 23 · 20:35R. Neterda—914140J. Vidourek—1116163
R. Neterda10
LSep 8 · 18:05R. Neterda1.73811811L. Vosyka2.0011911113LSep 7 · 13:43R. Neterda1.67131311392R. Fitl2.101115911113LSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482WSep 7 · 11:35R. Vavricka2.20711691R. Neterda1.6111411113WSep 7 · 10:35R. Neterda1.80111112113R. Fitl1.91431491LSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113WSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:35J. Martin2.3811125542R. Neterda1.535101111113LSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda1.915070J. Lovl1.801111113WSep 4 · 17:34M. Flesar2.107650R. Neterda1.671111113
J. Vidourek10
LSep 8 · 18:35M. Flesar2.001111113J. Vidourek1.737880LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113LSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991WSep 1 · 18:05J. Vidourek1.501011116113J. Kabelka2.5012741182LAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170
Upcoming Matches
R. Neterda
Nothing scheduled
J. Vidourek
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