TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098062
Played Sep 8Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311118116119––
Milan Flesar
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Flesar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Milan Flesar below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 70 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Milan Flesar at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 8–4 Milan Flesar Milan Flesar has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:50What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Flesar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Vosyka
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1440 vs Flesar 1477
Flesar
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 20% vs Flesar 40%
Flesar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 50% vs Flesar 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +1 · Flesar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flesar form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.83 / Flesar 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vosyka)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13098062
Vosyka1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Flesar1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka6wins
AwayFlesar4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka57.1%4 of 7
AwayFlesar33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka7Flesar3n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S2Vosyka6Flesar4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S3Vosyka8Flesar2n = 10Vosyka took 8 of 10
S4Vosyka5Flesar2n = 7Vosyka took 5 of 7
S5Vosyka0Flesar4n = 4Flesar took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaFlesarV − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.334.4+4.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaFlesarBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 423 vs 207 / 39050.8%53.1%215 / 423 vs 207 / 390Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.83/Flesar 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 16:05L. Vosyka—11611942M. Flesar—711611113
LAug 25 · 21:40L. Vosyka—11961172M. Flesar—911116113
LAug 25 · 18:35L. Vosyka—98111132M. Flesar—111187113
WAug 23 · 18:35L. Vosyka—11119113M. Flesar—981161
WAug 9 · 16:35L. Vosyka—1111113M. Flesar—7880
WJun 29 · 14:35L. Vosyka—1111113M. Flesar—5350
WJun 21 · 18:05L. Vosyka—1211123M. Flesar—106100
WJun 14 · 18:05L. Vosyka—81111113M. Flesar—118231
LApr 24 · 19:05L. Vosyka—12511752M. Flesar—1011711113
WApr 22 · 19:05L. Vosyka—91111113M. Flesar—113991
L. Vosyka10
LSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 18:05R. Neterda1.73811811L. Vosyka2.0011911113LSep 7 · 17:09D. Hons2.201111113L. Vosyka1.618280LSep 7 · 16:35D. Hons2.0081112113L. Vosyka1.731151071LSep 7 · 15:35L. Vosyka2.009650R. Fitl1.731111113LSep 7 · 14:05R. Fnukal1.831111119113L. Vosyka1.8351381162WSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840LSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113WSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.6791111113M. Rojka2.10117531
M. Flesar10
WSep 8 · 20:05R. Neterda1.44811761M. Flesar2.6311411113WSep 8 · 18:35M. Flesar2.001111113J. Vidourek1.737880LSep 6 · 09:05J. Martin1.671111163M. Flesar2.1088140WSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143LSep 6 · 07:35J. Martin1.731111113M. Flesar2.007640LSep 6 · 06:35M. Flesar3.255980J. Lovl1.331111113LSep 4 · 17:34M. Flesar2.107650R. Neterda1.671111113LSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110WSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:05R. Neterda1.5038111192M. Flesar2.50111199113
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