TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129202
Played Sep 14Finished
Tomas Krcil
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711911––––
Matyas Rojka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Krcil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Krcil above · Matyas Rojka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Krcil at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krcil 11–7 Matyas Rojka Matyas Rojka has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krcil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Krcil
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1428 vs Rojka 1340
Krcil
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 40% vs Rojka 20%
Krcil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 40% vs Rojka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil +1 · Rojka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Krcil) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rojka form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 1.73 / Rojka 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Krcil)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13129202
Krcil1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 44 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it71% 31 of 44
Rojka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 17 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrcil6wins
AwayRojka4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKrcil leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrcil66.7%4 of 6
AwayRojka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krcil6Rojka4n = 10Krcil took 6 of 10
S2Krcil3Rojka7n = 10Rojka took 7 of 10
S3Krcil5Rojka5n = 10split evenly
S4Krcil5Rojka3n = 8Krcil took 5 of 8
S5Krcil3Rojka1n = 4Krcil took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrcilRojkaK − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.237.5+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilRojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 276 vs 96 / 20351.5%47.3%142 / 276 vs 96 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrcilKrcil 1.73/Rojka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Krcil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 19:35T. Krcil2661280M. Rojka361114113
WSep 2 · 21:50T. Krcil48116911113M. Rojka4591111952
WSep 2 · 19:05T. Krcil3611311113M. Rojka29511581
WJul 8 · 19:35T. Krcil526121211113M. Rojka46111410562
WJun 17 · 21:05T. Krcil331111113M. Rojka207580
WJun 17 · 19:35T. Krcil4181111113M. Rojka29116661
LJun 15 · 18:35T. Krcil3911611111M. Rojka4113114133
LJun 11 · 20:35T. Krcil52111256182M. Rojka553101111203
WJun 2 · 20:05T. Krcil49119711113M. Rojka3791111332
LMay 28 · 21:15T. Krcil26117261M. Rojka3741111113
T. Krcil10
WSep 14 · 18:05T. Krcil1.4411911113R. Jonas2.63711591LSep 10 · 21:10M. Flesar1.63118711113T. Krcil2.1531111482WSep 10 · 20:35T. Krcil2.20117114113L. Vosyka1.6181161182LSep 10 · 19:05S. Kafka1.73741111113T. Krcil2.0011112782LSep 10 · 18:35M. Flesar1.801118113T. Krcil1.9121670LSep 8 · 17:10T. Krcil1.8351191142D. Hons1.83119118113WSep 8 · 16:35D. Hons1.7311118842T. Krcil2.00461111113LSep 8 · 15:35T. Krcil2.63611521R. Fitl1.4411611113LSep 8 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50111188113T. Krcil2.5089111182WSep 7 · 21:15J. Hajek2.1091080T. Krcil1.671112113
M. Rojka10
WSep 14 · 18:35M. Cyrus1.916760M. Rojka1.801111113LSep 9 · 17:05T. Motacek1.501111113M. Rojka2.505780LSep 9 · 16:35M. Rojka1.732740T. Motacek2.001111113LSep 9 · 15:05P. Pesout2.101311911133M. Rojka1.67156119112LSep 9 · 14:35M. Chmelicek2.00111011113M. Rojka1.73612591WSep 7 · 21:45M. Rojka2.011112113J. Martin1.6641070WSep 7 · 20:35J. Hajek1.57311111452M. Rojka2.251113612113WSep 7 · 19:35M. Rojka2.201114113T. Krcil1.6161280WSep 7 · 18:05J. Martin1.288470M. Rojka3.501111113LSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551
Upcoming Matches
T. Krcil
Nothing scheduled
M. Rojka
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.