TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108645
Played Sep 10Finished
Stanislav Kafka
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711411112117118
Tomas Krcil
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:15 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeStanislav Kafka to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Kafka above · Tomas Krcil below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 83 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Stanislav Kafka at 56.7%
83 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kafka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kafka 1614 vs Krcil 1446
Kafka
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kafka 60% vs Krcil 20%
Kafka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kafka 60% vs Krcil 30%
Kafka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kafka -2 · Krcil -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kafka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krcil form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKafka 1.73 / Krcil 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kafka)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13108645
Kafka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 11 of 17
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Krcil2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog54% won 22 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back38% 9 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKafkaKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 92 vs 140 / 27263%51.5%58 / 92 vs 140 / 272Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KafkaKafka 1.73/Krcil 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kafka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kafka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Kafka10
LSep 10 · 18:05S. Kafka1.83481191L. Vosyka1.8311119113LMay 4 · 21:35S. Kafka1.646990L. Vosyka2.041111113WMay 4 · 20:05S. Kafka1.661211173L. Vosyka2.00107150WMay 4 · 19:05S. Kafka1.611112113S. Vyskocil2.0891090WMay 4 · 18:05S. Kafka1.5011115113M. Jirasek2.30841161LApr 17 · 17:05S. Kafka—751171R. Neterda—11116113LApr 17 · 16:05S. Kafka—9550J. Hertl—1111113WApr 17 · 15:05S. Kafka1.7551111113L. Vosyka1.93114961WApr 17 · 14:05S. Kafka2.0711811113R. Neterda1.65711521WApr 10 · 21:35M. Jirasek—6960S. Kafka—1111113
T. Krcil10
LSep 10 · 18:35M. Flesar1.801118113T. Krcil1.9121670LSep 8 · 17:10T. Krcil1.8351191142D. Hons1.83119118113WSep 8 · 16:35D. Hons1.7311118842T. Krcil2.00461111113LSep 8 · 15:35T. Krcil2.63611521R. Fitl1.4411611113LSep 8 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50111188113T. Krcil2.5089111182WSep 7 · 21:15J. Hajek2.1091080T. Krcil1.671112113LSep 7 · 20:05J. Martin1.671141110113T. Krcil2.1001171262LSep 7 · 19:35M. Rojka2.201114113T. Krcil1.6161280LSep 7 · 18:35T. Krcil1.50191181J. Hajek2.5011117113WSep 2 · 21:50T. Krcil1.73116911113M. Rojka2.0091111952
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